XRP Price Cycle Points to $3.65 Breakout Ahead of 2025 Bull Run

XRP is once again testing the boundaries of its long-term trajectory, and according to EGRAG Crypto’s latest analysis, the asset is entering a decisive phase. Looking at the macro chart, XRP’s history has unfolded in three major cycles.

The first wave in 2013 established the foundation for growth, followed by the explosive rally of 2018 that set the all-time high. Now, the market is preparing for what EGRAG identifies as Cycle Three in 2025, a period where the price could align with the upper boundary of the logarithmic channel and potentially enter new price discovery. The white arches on the chart represent this long-term progression, with the green arch acting as a critical pivot for the next move.

Zooming in on the shorter-term picture, EGRAG describes what he calls the Bent Fork structure. At the center of this setup lies the $2.90 region, the midpoint of the linear log channel and an area that must hold to maintain a bullish formation. As long as XRP closes above this level, the broader outlook remains constructive. A push higher toward $3.65 would mark the key breakout point; a confirmed close above it would signal entry into uncharted territory, or as EGRAG frames it, the gateway to “Valhalla.”

The chart also defines layers of defense on the downside. Around $2.65 sits what EGRAG calls the strong line of defense, a zone where temporary dips are tolerable but a daily close beneath it would raise serious concerns. The next layer is $2.33, coinciding with the twenty-one period exponential moving average on the two-week timeframe, which acts as the last barrier to protect the bullish structure. Below this, the risks intensify, with $1.90 marking the bear market defense line. If XRP were to close under $1.90 and eventually lose $1.62, it would confirm a shift into bearish territory and invalidate the current cycle outlook.

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Despite these cautionary markers, the macro framework tells a different story. EGRAG stresses the importance of stepping back and looking at the broader arches and channels. When zoomed out, the structure still suggests XRP is preparing for a strong upward trajectory into 2025, with the white arch and the upper blue boundary pointing toward significantly higher valuations. In this view, short-term volatility becomes less significant compared to the long-term setup that has repeated across previous cycles.

The decisive battleground therefore lies between $2.90 and $3.65. Maintaining strength above the midpoint secures the bullish foundation, while a breakout beyond the green arch would carry XRP into the same kind of momentum phases that defined its earlier cycles. Traders, according to EGRAG, should focus less on daily noise and more on whether XRP can defend these structural levels as the next cycle peak approaches.