XRP Faces Its Biggest Risk of 2025 – Long-Term Holders Are Losing Faith

XRP’s price action is growing increasingly fragile, with the market’s sixth-largest asset repeatedly slipping toward the $2 mark – a level that is now acting less like support and more like a stress point. The broader crypto downturn has pulled sentiment lower, but on-chain indicators suggest XRP may be particularly vulnerable to a sharper move.

The latest distribution data from Glassnode, analyzed by Ali Martinez, shows XRP drifting through an area with noticeably thinning historical demand. A large cluster of realized prices sits near $2.15, a zone the token recently fell under. That concentration often represents a group of holders now facing unrealized losses – a setup that can fuel forced selling if fear intensifies.

Should XRP fail to reclaim that region, on-chain activity points to two possible landing zones where buyer interest has historically been stronger: roughly $1.91 and $1.73. These levels mark prior accumulation phases and could slow the decline if momentum remains negative.

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Long-term holders aren’t offering much reassurance either. Glassnode’s NUPL readings show a steady drift out of complacency and into growing anxiety as the market inches toward the $2 boundary. Throughout 2025, seasoned holders have reacted to volatility with predictable swings in sentiment, but the latest shift signals a meaningful loss of conviction among the group that typically anchors XRP’s price stability.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $2.10 – down roughly 10% on the day and more than 13% over the last week. Technically, the token sits beneath both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, now positioned near $2.55 and $2.60. Those levels have flipped into resistance, leaving XRP in a position where bulls must reclaim lost ground quickly to avoid a deeper retracement.