Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen, known for his accurate prediction of Bitcoin's correction in January, believes BTC still has room for growth this year.
Cowen forecasts a potential “counter-trend” rally for Bitcoin in the coming months, but he’s closely monitoring key price levels to determine if the bull run is truly over.
He predicts a significant drop in Q1 2025, followed by a counter-rally in Q2/Q3, where most altcoin pairs will likely suffer. However, Cowen points out that if Bitcoin drops below $70,000 in the next few weeks, the rally could end in a lower high, indicating the market has peaked.
Conversely, if Bitcoin stays above $70,000, the rally may lead to a higher high, suggesting further gains and a continuation of the bull market.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $86,380, and Cowen is watching closely for a possible breakout. He also foresees that Bitcoin’s trajectory will be influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate policies and overall investor sentiment.
He highlights the impact of the Federal Reserve’s monetary decisions on Bitcoin’s performance, emphasizing that a shift in liquidity could either boost Bitcoin’s price or speed up a market correction.
Cowen believes that the key to sustaining Bitcoin’s momentum is the renewed involvement of retail investors, suggesting that a recovery in the market will depend heavily on renewed enthusiasm from individual traders rather than just institutional capital.
Tech billionaire Elon Musk has unveiled a new political movement called the America Party, positioning it as a direct challenge to the United States’ long-standing two-party system.
Bill Miller IV, chief investment officer at Miller Value Partners, argues that the U.S. government has no legitimate claim to tax Bitcoin ownership, as it doesn’t require any state infrastructure to manage or verify property rights.
Bitcoin could be on the verge of another major breakout as institutional inflows return to levels that historically trigger rapid price acceleration.
According to on-chain analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin is entering a new stage of on-chain behavior marked by two key developments: a rare third peak in the SOPR Trend Signal during a single bull cycle and a sustained outflow dominance in exchange flows.