Japan’s Metaplanet has entered a rare situation where its market value has fallen below the worth of its own Bitcoin holdings — a reflection of changing investor sentiment toward Bitcoin treasury firms.
After a two-week pause in Bitcoin purchases, the company’s market-to-Bitcoin net asset value (mNAV) ratio slipped to 0.99, its lowest level on record. The figure measures how much investors value the company relative to the Bitcoin it holds. A ratio below 1 suggests that the market now prices Metaplanet’s operations at a discount compared to its BTC reserves.
The company, which owns 30,823 BTC – around $3.5 billion worth – saw its stock plunge roughly 75% since mid-June, falling from ¥1,895 (around $13) to just over $3.20 per share. This marks a steep reversal from the rally that followed Metaplanet’s first Bitcoin purchase in July 2024, which had briefly sent its mNAV soaring above 22.
Analysts are split on what the drop means. Melanion Capital CEO Jad Comair argued that markets still fail to understand the long-term potential of corporate Bitcoin treasuries, comparing the skepticism to early doubts about Tesla’s disruptive model. Others, like Smartkarma’s Mark Chadwick, interpret the sell-off as a natural correction after a speculative boom in crypto-related equities.
The fall below Bitcoin’s underlying value doesn’t necessarily signal trouble, but it does show how volatile sentiment remains in the Bitcoin treasury sector. For long-term believers, some analysts say, Metaplanet’s discount could be viewed as a rare buying opportunity.
Metaplanet remains Japan’s largest Bitcoin-holding company and the fourth-largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder worldwide, following Michael Saylor’s firm, which still leads the sector with over 640,000 BTC on its balance sheet.
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