Bitcoin Risk Cycle Flips Again as Market Enters Safer Zone

Bitcoin’s market signal has officially shifted back into a low-risk phase, according to a new chart shared by Bitcoin Vector in collaboration with Glassnode and Swissblock.

This signal matters—Bitcoin sets the tone for the entire crypto sector, and understanding when the market turns “risk-off” can shape investor strategy.

After spending 97 days in high-risk territory, Bitcoin now joins a handful of recent extended low-risk periods, including previous stretches lasting 107, 90, and 72 days.

On-Chain and Price Data Confirm Sentiment Shift

The Risk-Off signal, powered by a combination of on-chain metrics and price structure, highlights when investor behavior changes from speculative to defensive—or vice versa. When the blue zone appears on the chart, it suggests a lower-risk environment, historically followed by periods of accumulation or rally continuation.

Previous low-risk windows lined up with strong recovery trends in Bitcoin’s price, making this current shift particularly noteworthy as BTC trades above $100K.

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What This Means for Crypto Investors

Periods like these often serve as launchpads for new rallies, especially when paired with macro confidence or ETF inflows. As risk sentiment stabilizes, altcoins like Ethereum and Solana often follow with increased upside.

The crypto market is now watching closely. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin’s transition into a low-risk state may signal a broader bullish continuation across digital assets through the rest of 2025.

Kosta Gushterov

Kosta has been working in the crypto industry for over 4 years. He strives to present different perspectives on a given topic and enjoys the sector for its transparency and dynamism. In his work, he focuses on balanced coverage of events and developments in the crypto space, providing information to his readers from a neutral perspective.