Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has offered a fresh perspective on Bitcoin's stalled price movement near the $100,000 mark, despite growing institutional enthusiasm.
According to Edwards, the answer lies in the actions of long-term holders—not in a lack of demand.
Since the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, Edwards explains that long-time Bitcoin holders (LTHs) have been quietly offloading their positions. These sales are directed toward institutional buyers entering the space through ETFs, creating a hidden source of selling pressure that offsets much of the bullish sentiment.
While mainstream narratives often spotlight institutional FOMO and the surge in ETF flows, Edwards argues the true market dynamic lies in this discreet transfer of coins from seasoned holders to Wall Street.
Edwards reiterated a prediction he made earlier this year: that publicly traded companies holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets would spark a compounding “flywheel” of adoption. He believes this dynamic is now fully in motion, with more corporations joining the trend and accumulating Bitcoin at a growing pace.
This corporate buying behavior, he says, is rapidly becoming a more influential force than the ETF story itself.
Looking at recent on-chain trends, Edwards highlighted a striking uptick in the number of wallets holding Bitcoin for more than six months. Over the past two months, this group has purchased more BTC than LTHs have sold over the last 18 months—an “incredible” shift in market structure, according to him.
Historically, such large-scale accumulation is often followed by price squeezes, which Edwards views as a short-term bullish signal.
Despite this momentum, Edwards cautions that broader on-chain indicators still reflect some underlying fragility. However, he believes that continued buying by newer long-term investors could resolve this weakness.
“If companies with Bitcoin treasuries maintain this aggressive pace of accumulation, we’re likely only in the early stages of the cycle,” he noted. “If that momentum holds, the market could regain strength quickly.”
Bitcoin may be entering a typical summer correction phase, according to a July 25 report by crypto financial services firm Matrixport.
Bitcoin has dropped sharply to test its local range low near $115,000, with analysts pointing to renewed whale activity and long-dormant supply movements as key contributors to the decline.
Bitcoin has reached a critical milestone in its programmed supply timeline—only 5.25% of the total BTC that will ever exist remains to be mined.
Strategy the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has announced the pricing of a new $2.47 billion capital raise through its initial public offering of Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC).