Bitcoin at Crossroads as Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on Price

Bitcoin’s recent surge to $109,000 has been overshadowed by renewed conflict in the Middle East, with heightened tensions between Israel and Iran putting pressure on the market.

According to Bitfinex analysts, the resulting wave of selling has placed BTC in a vulnerable position, with a potential breakdown looming if support levels don’t hold.

The firm’s latest report notes that the current sell-off mirrors past capitulation events, which often preceded local bottoms. They believe Bitcoin must stay above the $102,000–$104,000 range to signal that the worst of the selling has been absorbed. A successful defense of this zone could pave the way for a bounce to $112,000 or even new all-time highs within two months.

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Alphractal analysts, meanwhile, spotlight a different threshold. They argue that $98,300 is the line separating bullish continuation from deeper correction. If BTC holds above the realized price of short-term holders, sentiment remains positive. A break below that level, however, could shift the market toward a more bearish trajectory.

Both teams agree: BTC is nearing a critical decision point, with technical and psychological levels set to determine the direction of its next big move.

Alexander Stefanov

With over 8 years of experience in the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry, Alexander is a seasoned content creator and market analyst dedicated to making digital assets more accessible and understandable. He specializes in breaking down complex crypto trends, analyzing market movements, and producing insightful content aimed at educating both newcomers and seasoned investors. Alexander has built a reputation for delivering timely and accurate analysis, while keeping a close eye on regulatory developments, emerging technologies, and macroeconomic trends that shape the future of digital finance. His work is rooted in a passion for innovation and a firm belief that widespread education is key to accelerating global crypto adoption.