10x Research's recent analysis suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a substantial rally by late 2024.
The report examines yearly trends and identifies a potential shift in market dynamics influenced by seasonal factors.
Marcus Thielen, the founder of 10x Research, expressed optimism regarding the anticipated release of funds from FTX, projecting an influx of $5-$8 billion that could boost positive market sentiment.
However, he noted a possible downturn in risk assets due to the Federal Reserve’s adjustments regarding the S&P 500, hinting at a potential rate cut, which could lead investors to realign their portfolios for 2025.
The report highlights various external factors that might impact Bitcoin’s performance by year-end, with liquidity being a key element. Macroeconomic influences, such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation, and election-related dynamics, are also seen as significant contributors.
While there are encouraging signs, the report urges caution, reminding readers of Bitcoin’s historical volatility and the possibility of substantial price drops. Important levels to monitor include the previous cycle high of $68,330 and the 21-week moving average. Effective risk management may necessitate selling during turbulent times, even if it means accepting less favorable prices.
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