Bitcoin's current macroeconomic environment seems "ideal" for a breakout, yet the cryptocurrency faces potential instability due to over $500 million in upcoming liquidations.
According to Jamie Coutts, a leading analyst at Real Vision, Bitcoin’s mid-cycle correction aligns with historical patterns related to the global M2 money supply. Coutts highlighted that Bitcoin often bottoms out before the global liquidity bottom, then surges ahead of liquidity movements, leading to a mid-cycle correction.
Over the past decade, #Bitcoin has had a tendency to trough several months before the bottom in global M2. Then it rips, gets way ahead of the move in liquidity, and has a mid-cycle correction.
Now, momentum in global liquidity is starting to accelerate higher while all the… pic.twitter.com/0A9hV9m25h
— Jamie Coutts CMT (@Jamie1Coutts) August 13, 2024
Coutts’ assessment comes as Bitcoin rebounds from a recent $510 billion market sell-off that dropped its price to a five-month low of $49,500 on August 5. Despite the recovery, Bitcoin remains below the significant $60,000 threshold.
However, Bitcoin’s price could face a dip to around $55,000. Coinglass data suggests that a decline below $58,000 could trigger the liquidation of $489 million in leveraged short positions. If Bitcoin drops below $57,500, liquidations could exceed $800 million.
Bitcoin is also struggling with a two-week downtrend, which began on July 28. Analyst Rekt Capital noted that overcoming this downtrend and achieving strong buying volume could be crucial for Bitcoin to regain upward momentum. Some analysts predict a potential drop to $55,000 before Bitcoin can potentially rise further.
Gold advocate Peter Schiff issued a stark warning on monetary policy and sparked fresh debate about Bitcoin’s perceived scarcity. In a pair of high-profile posts on July 12, Schiff criticized the current Fed rate stance and challenged the logic behind Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap.
A sharp divergence has emerged between Bitcoin’s exchange balances and its surging market price—signaling renewed long-term accumulation and supply tightening.
Bitcoin touched a new all-time high of $118,000, but what truly fueled the rally?
Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has revealed he bought more Bitcoin at $110,000 and is now positioning himself for what macro investor Raoul Pal calls the “Banana Zone” — the parabolic phase of the market cycle when FOMO takes over.