Polymarket's latest data shows a change in forecasts for the outcome of the US presidential election in 2024.
Trump’s projected winning percentage has declined significantly, dropping from 67% on October 30 to 57.3% today, a 9.7% drop.
In contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a significant rise in her projected win percentage, which has increased from 34.4% to 42.8%.
This change may reflect the evolution of public attitudes as the election approaches. Additionally, a Washington Post poll reported that in Pennsylvania – a crucial battleground state – support for Harris and Trump is nearly even, underscoring the state’s role as a key factor in the election.
Pennsylvania has always been a crucial state, and its voters often influence the overall outcome, making these trends particularly important.
Adjustments to the projected winning percentages indicate that the race remains competitive. As Election Day approaches, any changes in turnout or last-minute campaigning strategies in states like Pennsylvania could further impact the outcome.
The first week of July brings several important developments in the United States that could influence both traditional markets and the cryptocurrency sector.
Ric Edelman, one of the most influential voices in personal finance, has radically revised his stance on crypto allocation. After years of cautious optimism, he now believes that digital assets deserve a far larger share in investment portfolios than ever before.
In the case involving Terraform Labs and its co-founder Do Hyeong Kwon, the defense has asked the Federal Court for the Southern District of New York to extend the deadline for pretrial filings by two weeks, pushing it beyond the original date of July 1, 2025.
Coinbase has emerged as the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 for June, climbing 43% amid a surge of bullish momentum driven by regulatory clarity, product innovation, and deeper institutional interest in crypto.