Trump Starting to Lose His Lead For the US Election, According to Polymarket

Polymarket's latest data shows a change in forecasts for the outcome of the US presidential election in 2024.

Trump’s projected winning percentage has declined significantly, dropping from 67% on October 30 to 57.3% today, a 9.7% drop.

In contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a significant rise in her projected win percentage, which has increased from 34.4% to 42.8%.

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This change may reflect the evolution of public attitudes as the election approaches. Additionally, a Washington Post poll reported that in Pennsylvania – a crucial battleground state – support for Harris and Trump is nearly even, underscoring the state’s role as a key factor in the election.

Pennsylvania has always been a crucial state, and its voters often influence the overall outcome, making these trends particularly important.

Adjustments to the projected winning percentages indicate that the race remains competitive. As Election Day approaches, any changes in turnout or last-minute campaigning strategies in states like Pennsylvania could further impact the outcome.

Alexander Stefanov