Analysts suggest that Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency markets might be on the verge of a significant breakout if past cycles hold true.
According to insights shared by Rekt Capital on September 24, Bitcoin has historically exited its reaccumulation phase between 154 and 161 days post-halving. Given that this cycle’s halving took place on April 20, it falls within that critical timeframe now.
Historically, Bitcoin has broken out from its ReAccumulation Range 154-161 days after the Halving
It is 157 days after the Halving now
History suggests it is “Breakout Time” for Bitcoin$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/Ydqlu4JKSf pic.twitter.com/CwRvUYnHW0
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) September 23, 2024
In prior cycles, Bitcoin broke free from its accumulation phase just 154 days after the 2016 halving and 161 days following the 2020 event. Rekt Capital pointed out that, while historical patterns aren’t guaranteed to repeat precisely, this could indicate an imminent breakout for Bitcoin in the upcoming days.
The analyst also noted the general bearish trend for Bitcoin in September but highlighted that this month has shown unexpected strength, with Bitcoin climbing nearly 9%—the best September performance since 2016.
Historically, October has also been a favorable month for Bitcoin, with nine out of the last eleven years seeing positive returns, including significant spikes in 2017 and 2021.
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Bitcoin’s rapid recovery beyond $104,000 has sparked a wave of optimism in crypto circles, but the bigger question remains: is this just the beginning?
While Bitcoin’s price has recently rebounded, the enthusiasm for spot ETFs appears to be cooling. Weekly inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have dropped sharply, signaling a pause in aggressive institutional accumulation.
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