Data from cryptocurrency exchanges indicates that significant amounts of capital have left the market over the past month, potentially stalling any short-term upward momentum.
While a major rally for Bitcoin in October seems unlikely, optimism for a strong fourth quarter remains high among investors.
According to Defillama, most major exchanges have experienced notable outflows recently, with over $2.68 billion withdrawn, including a substantial portion in stablecoins. Nansen reports a steep drop in stablecoin reserves across exchanges, decreasing from $38.5 billion to $35 billion, which signals reduced buying power and market interest.
Meanwhile, BlackRock, a key player in the institutional crypto space, recently saw its second large Bitcoin withdrawal of the year, with 256 BTC moved out. This follows a pattern seen earlier in the year and suggests the company’s accumulation has slowed. The last such event occurred in May, when Bitcoin’s price dipped below $60,000.
ETF investors have also shown signs of caution, with three out of the first five trading days in October recording negative inflows. Analysts are keeping a close watch on these trends, warning that continued outflows may limit any significant price gains this month. Nonetheless, many still expect Bitcoin to regain momentum later in Q4, with some pointing to historical patterns of late-month recoveries.
Renowned author and financial educator Robert Kiyosaki has issued a word of caution to everyday investors relying too heavily on exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Bitcoin may be entering a typical summer correction phase, according to a July 25 report by crypto financial services firm Matrixport.
Bitcoin has dropped sharply to test its local range low near $115,000, with analysts pointing to renewed whale activity and long-dormant supply movements as key contributors to the decline.
Bitcoin has reached a critical milestone in its programmed supply timeline—only 5.25% of the total BTC that will ever exist remains to be mined.