Peter Brandt, a seasoned trader, observes that Bitcoin's recent decline resembles market trends before the 2016 bull run.
Brandt points out that the drop in Bitcoin’s value since the April 2024 halving is echoing the patterns seen in the 2015-2017 market cycle.
Please note that $BTC decline since halving is now similar to that of the 2015-2017 Halving Bull market cycle pic.twitter.com/cIm3WKzBog
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) August 5, 2024
Following the 2016 halving, Bitcoin fell from $650 to $474, a 27% decrease, before soaring to $20,000 by the end of 2017. Currently, Bitcoin has slid to below $50,000, a 26% drop from its post-halving price of $64,962.
On August 5, Bitcoin fell to $49,200, down 20% from its late July high of $70,000. However, it has begun to recover, reaching $56,000 by early August 6.
Analysts, including ITC Crypto’s Benjamin Cowen, note that this trend mirrors the market behavior of 2019, characterized by an initial surge followed by a substantial correction.
Tim Kravchunovsky of Chirp believes that cryptocurrencies might rebound more swiftly compared to traditional assets, drawing parallels to the rapid recovery seen in 2020.
Bitcoin is once again mirroring global liquidity trends—and that could have major implications in the days ahead.
The crypto market is showing signs of cautious optimism. While prices remain elevated, sentiment indicators and trading activity suggest investors are stepping back to reassess risks rather than diving in further.
Citigroup analysts say the key to Bitcoin’s future isn’t mining cycles or halving math—it’s ETF inflows.
Bitcoin may be entering a typical summer correction phase, according to a July 25 report by crypto financial services firm Matrixport.