The latest inflation report from the Federal Reserve, based on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, shows a 2.5% increase in prices year-over-year for January.
This closely watched measure tracks shifts in the cost of a typical set of goods and services, offering an important glimpse into economic trends.
In line with predictions, January’s PCE matched the 2.5% rise anticipated by economists, as per a survey by FactSet. While inflation has significantly decreased from the peak of nearly 9% observed in mid-2022, it continues to outpace the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. This data comes just after a CPI report, which indicated that inflation surged to 3% annually for the same period.
The persistent nature of inflation is having a clear effect on consumer behavior, prompting the Fed to take a cautious approach regarding further rate cuts. Economists suggest the continued inflation pressure was one of the key factors in the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady in January.
On the consumer front, there’s growing concern about the economic strain. Many Americans report their earnings are not keeping up with the rising cost of living.
Tensions are rising in global markets as the U.S. prepares to impose a 25% tariff on European imports, with the automotive sector taking the biggest hit.
A proposed U.S. oil tariff could hit foreign producers with $10 billion in costs annually, according to Goldman Sachs.
The stock market may be headed for turmoil as a historic divergence emerges between the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500.
Trump is pushing ahead with aggressive tariffs, setting the stage for economic tensions with both the EU and BRICS.