Global inflation is anticipated to decline to 3.5% by the end of 2025, largely due to a resilient global economy, as reported by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
After reaching 9.4% in Q3 2022, inflation is nearing central bank targets, with growth projected to stabilize at 3.2% for 2024 and 2025.
This reduction could lower living costs and interest rates, benefiting risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
However, IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas warned of potential risks from geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East, and uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election.
Despite positive forecasts, the IMF called for policy reforms related to interest rates, government spending, and productivity to sustain growth. While the U.S. is expected to lead growth, advanced economies in Europe may experience slowdowns due to escalating global conflicts.
In contrast, billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones expressed concerns about rising inflation, citing the U.S. government’s significant debt and projected fiscal deficits. He suggested that inflating out of debt, similar to Japan’s strategy, might be necessary to address spending issues and avoid financial instability.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.