One of the most important U.S. economic metrics, the jobs report, was just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report on jobs in September showed that the unemployment rate falls to 4.1%, the same as in August. Тhe economy added 254,000 jobs, up from 142,000 in August.
This latest report is crucial for assessing whether the Fed’s anticipated quarter-point rate cuts in its remaining meetings this year will hold.
Before the release, former Fed economist John Roberts analyzed the Fed’s economic outlook and noted that recent rate cuts coincide with a slight projected increase in the unemployment rate, suggesting that the previous ec’onomic resilience is fading. He warned that the current policy rate may exert more pressure on the economy than expected.
Rising joblessness over the past year has raised recession alarms. Historical trends indicate that when unemployment increases by more than half a percentage point annually, larger rises typically follow.
Investors are largely betting that the Fed will cut the benchmark rate by another quarter-point in early November, a sentiment that the recently published employment data could either validate or alter. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin remarked that as more economic reports emerge, confidence in rate decisions will evolve, allowing for appropriate responses to changing data.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.