The PCE inflation report released moments ago will likely to reinforce expectations of an impending Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
For July, the core PCE Price Index increased by 0.2% month-over-month (MoM), maintaining the same growth rate as June. Annually, core PCE has risen by 2.6%, lower than expectations.
The core PCE Price Index, which omits the more volatile food and energy prices, plays a crucial role in shaping market expectations regarding the Fed’s interest rate decisions.
As it excludes erratic components, this indicator is closely watched by both the central bank and market participants to gain a clearer perspective on underlying inflation trends.
Earlier this month, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.9% annually in July, while the core CPI rose by 3.2%, slightly lower than the 3.3% recorded in June.
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge for July shows a sustainable trend of disinflation, bolstering Federal Reserve officials’ confidence as they eye interest rate cuts next month.
After two intensive days of negotiations in Geneva, officials from the United States and China have reportedly found common ground on key trade issues, paving the way for a new agreement aimed at narrowing the U.S. trade deficit.
Despite attending a recent BRICS gathering in Brazil and being listed as a member on the group’s website, Saudi Arabia is reportedly holding off on formalizing its participation in the economic alliance.
As trade envoys from the U.S. and China prepare to meet in Geneva this weekend, Donald Trump is once again embracing aggressive tariff policy.
At its May 7, 2025 meeting, the Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fourth consecutive decision to keep rates steady.