The U.S. economy is showing signs of strain as unemployment climbed from 4.1% to 4.3% in July, increasing the number of jobless Americans to around 7.2 million.
This labor market decline coincides with a massive $6.4 trillion drop in global stock markets over a three-week period.
Wells Fargo analysts are sounding alarms, urging the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to shift to a ‘neutral’ policy stance to avoid worsening the economic downturn. In response, major banks are predicting significant interest rate cuts.
Bank of America anticipates a rate cut in September, while Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase foresee a 50 basis point reduction in both September and November. Citi expects a cumulative 100 basis point cut by November, aiming for a range of 3% to 3.25% by mid-2025.
These anticipated rate adjustments reflect growing concerns about the economic stability in the U.S. and globally, suggesting that investors should prepare for potential financial instability in the near future.
Donald Trump criticized the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point, calling it a “political maneuver” and suggesting that a smaller reduction would have been more appropriate.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has opted to keep interest rates steady at 0.25%, leading to a sharp rise in the Nikkei index, which jumped over 700 points.
On September 18, the US Federal Reserve made a notable move by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, marking the start of a new easing cycle.
The Federal Reserve’s recent 50 basis point rate cut left experts divided.