Peter Brandt, a seasoned trader, observes that Bitcoin's recent decline resembles market trends before the 2016 bull run.
Brandt points out that the drop in Bitcoin’s value since the April 2024 halving is echoing the patterns seen in the 2015-2017 market cycle.
Please note that $BTC decline since halving is now similar to that of the 2015-2017 Halving Bull market cycle pic.twitter.com/cIm3WKzBog
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) August 5, 2024
Following the 2016 halving, Bitcoin fell from $650 to $474, a 27% decrease, before soaring to $20,000 by the end of 2017. Currently, Bitcoin has slid to below $50,000, a 26% drop from its post-halving price of $64,962.
On August 5, Bitcoin fell to $49,200, down 20% from its late July high of $70,000. However, it has begun to recover, reaching $56,000 by early August 6.
Analysts, including ITC Crypto’s Benjamin Cowen, note that this trend mirrors the market behavior of 2019, characterized by an initial surge followed by a substantial correction.
Tim Kravchunovsky of Chirp believes that cryptocurrencies might rebound more swiftly compared to traditional assets, drawing parallels to the rapid recovery seen in 2020.
Bitcoin’s rapid recovery beyond $104,000 has sparked a wave of optimism in crypto circles, but the bigger question remains: is this just the beginning?
While Bitcoin’s price has recently rebounded, the enthusiasm for spot ETFs appears to be cooling. Weekly inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have dropped sharply, signaling a pause in aggressive institutional accumulation.
A wave of optimism swept through global markets as the United States and China took decisive steps to de-escalate their long-running trade dispute.
Strategy has made another massive move into Bitcoin, adding 13,390 BTC to its already substantial crypto reserves.