Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is currently giving his most anticipated interview at the Economic Club in Washington with David Rubenstein.
Rubenstein is a renowned investor and philanthropist, co-founder of Carlyle Board, where Powell was a partner between 1997 and 2005.
Powel said that this year the Fed expected the economy to gradually slow down as well as the labor market to cool off after being overheated for quite some time. And he said this is actually happening.
Inflation data in Q1 saw no progress, whereas in Q2 there were 3 better readings, which has given better confidence, needed for the potential rate cuts.
He stated that the 1.5% economic growth in H1 is a good sign that potentially their policy is on the right track.
As inflation nears its 2% target and concerns grow over sustained job market strength under the Fed’s economic policies, the central bank faces decisions in its final days.
It may signal impending rate cuts or justify maintaining current monetary policies despite recent economic data suggesting otherwise.
June’s weak inflation figures have led investors to speculate a greater than 90% chance of a rate cut in September. Powell previously indicated that favorable inflation trends would influence future rate adjustments but refrained from setting a timeline during recent Congressional hearings. During the interview, Fed’s chair answered that he won’t give any signals.
He was asked whether their decisions will be affected by this year’s presidential election, to which he answered that they don’t have a political filter and they are not influenced by this.
Powell added, that if you wait inflation rate to reach 2% you will have waited for too long – in other words they won”t wait for the inflation to go all the way down to 2% to make a decision to cut rates.
He also said that if they see an unexpected weakening in the labor market, this will be required to react.
The Fed convenes July 30-31, adhering to rules preventing policymakers from discussing monetary policy starting July 20 until after the meeting concludes.
Donald Trump criticized the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point, calling it a “political maneuver” and suggesting that a smaller reduction would have been more appropriate.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has opted to keep interest rates steady at 0.25%, leading to a sharp rise in the Nikkei index, which jumped over 700 points.
On September 18, the US Federal Reserve made a notable move by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, marking the start of a new easing cycle.
The Federal Reserve’s recent 50 basis point rate cut left experts divided.