Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.
In a recent interview with CNBC, Eisman pointed to tariffs as his primary concern for the stock market. While investor sentiment has grown comfortable, he warned that negotiations, especially with complex blocs like the European Union, remain fraught with political and logistical hurdles. “Each EU country effectively has veto power,” he said, noting the difficulty of reaching unified agreements.
As for U.S.-China relations, Eisman admitted the outlook is too unpredictable to assess confidently. “There are just too many moving parts,” he said, adding that he’s reduced risk in his portfolio and is waiting to see how things unfold.
Despite optimism surrounding the artificial intelligence sector—fueled in part by NVIDIA’s blockbuster earnings, with revenue surging 69% in a single quarter—Eisman cautioned that geopolitical conflict could derail that momentum. He marveled at NVIDIA’s growth, calling it “insane,” but added a stark warning: “If a trade war breaks out, none of that will matter in the short run.”
For now, Eisman remains long on the market but more cautious than enthusiastic, keeping a watchful eye on rising trade tensions that could reshape the market’s near-term trajectory.
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