The U.S. economy is showing signs of strain as unemployment climbed from 4.1% to 4.3% in July, increasing the number of jobless Americans to around 7.2 million.
This labor market decline coincides with a massive $6.4 trillion drop in global stock markets over a three-week period.
Wells Fargo analysts are sounding alarms, urging the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to shift to a ‘neutral’ policy stance to avoid worsening the economic downturn. In response, major banks are predicting significant interest rate cuts.
Bank of America anticipates a rate cut in September, while Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase foresee a 50 basis point reduction in both September and November. Citi expects a cumulative 100 basis point cut by November, aiming for a range of 3% to 3.25% by mid-2025.
These anticipated rate adjustments reflect growing concerns about the economic stability in the U.S. and globally, suggesting that investors should prepare for potential financial instability in the near future.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.