The PCE inflation report released moments ago will likely to reinforce expectations of an impending Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
For July, the core PCE Price Index increased by 0.2% month-over-month (MoM), maintaining the same growth rate as June. Annually, core PCE has risen by 2.6%, lower than expectations.
The core PCE Price Index, which omits the more volatile food and energy prices, plays a crucial role in shaping market expectations regarding the Fed’s interest rate decisions.
As it excludes erratic components, this indicator is closely watched by both the central bank and market participants to gain a clearer perspective on underlying inflation trends.
Earlier this month, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.9% annually in July, while the core CPI rose by 3.2%, slightly lower than the 3.3% recorded in June.
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge for July shows a sustainable trend of disinflation, bolstering Federal Reserve officials’ confidence as they eye interest rate cuts next month.
Consumer spending in the U.S. showed weaker-than-expected growth in February, increasing only 0.1%, which was on the lower end of economists’ forecasts.
In February, the U.S. maintained its annual inflation rate at 2.5%, as reflected in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, according to data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
UBS has issued a stark warning to investors, flagging stagflation as a looming economic threat.
A key economic indicator is flashing warning signs as uncertainty looms over financial markets.