The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand increased by 0.4% in November, following a 0.3% rise in October and a 0.2% increase in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Over the 12 months ending in November, the PPI rose 3.0%, marking the largest annual gain since February 2023, when it reached 4.7%.
The November increase in final demand prices was primarily driven by a 0.7% rise in goods prices, which accounted for nearly 60% of the overall increase. The services sector saw a more modest 0.2% increase.
Within goods, the 0.7% rise was the largest since February, with notable gains across a range of sectors. In services, the 0.2% increase marked the fourth consecutive monthly rise, with trade services contributing significantly, up by 0.8%. However, transportation and warehousing services saw a decline of 0.5%.
Excluding food, energy, and trade services, the core PPI rose 0.1% in November, following a 0.3% increase in October. On a year-over-year basis, the core PPI rose 3.5%.
Unemployment claims for the week also saw a higher-than-expected figure, with 242,000 new claims compared to the expected 221,000. Bitcoin’s immediate response to the PPI and unemployment data followed the market’s assessment of these inflationary signals.
In a historic move, Moody’s has downgraded the United States’ long-term credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing ballooning deficits, growing interest burdens, and a failure to implement fiscal reforms.
JPMorgan Chase’s chief global strategist has expressed a cautious view of the U.S. economy, suggesting that while a full recession may be avoided, the near-term outlook points to slow and uneven growth.
U.S. President Donald Trump has reignited criticism of Federal Reserve policy, calling for swift interest rate reductions and casting doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s ability to handle the process.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has cautioned that the possibility of a U.S. recession still looms large, citing a convergence of geopolitical instability and unresolved domestic issues as key threats to economic momentum.