The latest inflation report from the Federal Reserve, based on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, shows a 2.5% increase in prices year-over-year for January.
This closely watched measure tracks shifts in the cost of a typical set of goods and services, offering an important glimpse into economic trends.
In line with predictions, January’s PCE matched the 2.5% rise anticipated by economists, as per a survey by FactSet. While inflation has significantly decreased from the peak of nearly 9% observed in mid-2022, it continues to outpace the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. This data comes just after a CPI report, which indicated that inflation surged to 3% annually for the same period.
The persistent nature of inflation is having a clear effect on consumer behavior, prompting the Fed to take a cautious approach regarding further rate cuts. Economists suggest the continued inflation pressure was one of the key factors in the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady in January.
On the consumer front, there’s growing concern about the economic strain. Many Americans report their earnings are not keeping up with the rising cost of living.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.