The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has roughly doubled in the past year and continues to offer an attractive risk-return ratio for investors, according to a chain indicator that predicted bullish growth in early 2023.
The “reserve risk” indicator, which measures the confidence of long-term holders based on their willingness to hold rather than sell, remains in the green below 0.002, according to CryptoQuant data.
This suggests that long-term holders are motivated to keep their BTC at current market prices, indicating favorable supply and demand dynamics.
MintingM said that the reserve risk remaining in the green zone means that investing in BTC now offers an extraordinarily high return on risk.
Historically, reserve risk below 0.0027 signals a transition from bear to bull markets, while scores above 0.02 signal bull market tops.
Other indicators, such as the percentage of inactive supply, also point to a return to a hold strategy after profit-taking at record highs earlier this year.
Bitcoin is once again mirroring global liquidity trends—and that could have major implications in the days ahead.
The crypto market is showing signs of cautious optimism. While prices remain elevated, sentiment indicators and trading activity suggest investors are stepping back to reassess risks rather than diving in further.
Citigroup analysts say the key to Bitcoin’s future isn’t mining cycles or halving math—it’s ETF inflows.
Bitcoin may be entering a typical summer correction phase, according to a July 25 report by crypto financial services firm Matrixport.