Oil prices held steady on Monday as traders monitored hurricane Beryl's potential impact on Gulf of Mexico production and noted robust summer demand signals.
Crude prices have risen for four consecutive weeks on expectations of increased summer demand and concerns over potential supply disruptions due to weather. However, fears of economic slowdown in China, the world’s largest oil importer, have tempered recent gains.
Brent crude futures for September edged up 0.2% to $86.67 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude held at $82.28 per barrel. Both benchmarks remained near their recent two-month highs.
Major Texas ports closed over the weekend in preparation for Tropical Storm Beryl, which could become a hurricane, potentially delaying crude shipments from key oil export regions.
Initial forecasts minimized Beryl’s impact, but the storm’s unexpected strength after affecting Jamaica raised concerns about Gulf of Mexico production disruptions.
Strong U.S. travel demand during the Independence Day holiday and significant reductions in U.S. oil inventories supported prices, indicating robust summer demand. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also continue to underpin oil markets amid concerns of potential disruptions to regional oil production.
In a recent live address, U.S. President Donald Trump declared that a new base tariff of 10% would be applied universally to all countries.
Consumer spending in the U.S. showed weaker-than-expected growth in February, increasing only 0.1%, which was on the lower end of economists’ forecasts.
In February, the U.S. maintained its annual inflation rate at 2.5%, as reflected in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, according to data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
UBS has issued a stark warning to investors, flagging stagflation as a looming economic threat.