Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's recent comments indicate a potential clash with President-elect Donald Trump.
Days after the election, the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%, but attention focused on Powell’s response when asked if he would resign if pressed by Trump. “No,” he replied. Powell clarified that the president does not have the authority to fire or demote the Fed chairman, noting that it is “not allowed by law.”
During his first term in 2018, Trump appointed Powell to replace Janet Yellen, but later disagreed with him on monetary policy, pushing for more aggressive easing measures.
Trump’s economic adviser suggested appointing a “shadow Fed chairman” to reduce Powell’s influence, which could signal increasing tensions.
While the Fed’s current policy loosening is consistent with Trump’s goals, inflation and economic resilience could complicate further rate cuts. Some analysts predict that the Fed could maintain its stability after another potential cut in December.
Trump’s expansive fiscal plans – including the extended tax cuts, proposed tariffs and immigration policy – could raise inflation, limiting the Fed’s flexibility. Powell stressed that the Fed bases its policy on actual economic conditions, not projected fiscal changes, instead reacting as data evolves.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.