Bitcoin is trading roughly 7% below its record high of $112,000, facing renewed selling pressure amid a broader market cooldown.
But beneath the surface, a subtle divergence is forming—one that may hint at a deeper shift in momentum.
While retail traders have turned cautious, data from Alphractal shows that whales are quietly ramping up exposure. The Whale vs. Retail Ratio, a metric that compares the behavior of large and small investors, is rising again. Historically, such a shift has often preceded bullish trends, as institutional players tend to accumulate when retail sentiment is uncertain.
Bitcoin is still hovering above the critical $100,000 psychological mark and has found short-term support near $103,600. The 50-day SMA at $101,026 remains a key level to hold, with overhead resistance looming at $109,300. Price action is tightening between major moving averages, hinting at a potential breakout or breakdown in the coming sessions.
Volatility in equities, climbing bond yields, and stubborn inflation across major economies are pushing risk sentiment into flux. As traditional markets wobble, Bitcoin’s role as a hedge is once again being tested. The cryptocurrency’s resilience above support, coupled with the quiet confidence of large holders, could lay the groundwork for a strong move—if macro conditions align.
Should BTC stay above its current support zone and reclaim momentum toward $108,000, a retest of the all-time high could come back into focus. On the flip side, a decisive break below $103,600 may open the door to deeper downside, with the next major support resting near $92,600.
For now, whales are loading up while retail watches from the sidelines. Whether this calm is the setup for a breakout or a pause before a larger correction remains to be seen—but the next move could be decisive.
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