The escalating trade war between China and the US has sparked global economic disruption.
It began in February 2023 when the US imposed a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports, quickly escalating to 20% by March. The goal was to punish China for unfair trade practices, but Beijing retaliated with its own tariffs, particularly targeting US exports like soybeans and wheat.
The US didn’t stop there, expanding the trade battle to the EU, Canada, Mexico, and South Korea, claiming these measures were necessary to ensure fair trade and address national security concerns, particularly regarding steel imports. In response, China restricted rare earth mineral exports, crucial for US technology and defense industries.
As both nations imposed more tariffs and non-tariff barriers, global trade slowed, and stock markets plunged. US businesses saw rising costs, while Chinese manufacturers scrambled for new markets. Amid this turmoil, cryptocurrency gained a slight boost, partly due to Trump’s proposal for a national crypto reserve.
The global economic fallout is significant, with experts predicting a 1.5% dip in global GDP by 2025. While neither side is backing down, the war continues to disrupt supply chains, jobs, and economies worldwide, leaving the outcome uncertain.
The latest inflation report from the Federal Reserve, based on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, shows a 2.5% increase in prices year-over-year for January.
Tensions are rising in global markets as the U.S. prepares to impose a 25% tariff on European imports, with the automotive sector taking the biggest hit.
A proposed U.S. oil tariff could hit foreign producers with $10 billion in costs annually, according to Goldman Sachs.
The stock market may be headed for turmoil as a historic divergence emerges between the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500.