The escalating trade war between China and the US has sparked global economic disruption.
It began in February 2023 when the US imposed a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports, quickly escalating to 20% by March. The goal was to punish China for unfair trade practices, but Beijing retaliated with its own tariffs, particularly targeting US exports like soybeans and wheat.
The US didn’t stop there, expanding the trade battle to the EU, Canada, Mexico, and South Korea, claiming these measures were necessary to ensure fair trade and address national security concerns, particularly regarding steel imports. In response, China restricted rare earth mineral exports, crucial for US technology and defense industries.
As both nations imposed more tariffs and non-tariff barriers, global trade slowed, and stock markets plunged. US businesses saw rising costs, while Chinese manufacturers scrambled for new markets. Amid this turmoil, cryptocurrency gained a slight boost, partly due to Trump’s proposal for a national crypto reserve.
The global economic fallout is significant, with experts predicting a 1.5% dip in global GDP by 2025. While neither side is backing down, the war continues to disrupt supply chains, jobs, and economies worldwide, leaving the outcome uncertain.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.