Experts warn that a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could lead to a significant drop in Bitcoin's price, contrary to many traders' expectations.
Analysts suggest that a rate reduction could cause Bitcoin to fall by 15-20%, potentially dipping to levels not seen since February.
According to Bitfinex analysts in a September 2 report, September is historically a volatile month for Bitcoin. They believe that the anticipated Fed rate cut could further intensify market volatility. The analysts also pointed out that macroeconomic shifts could alter this forecast.
The Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates is expected on September 18. While the market anticipates a rate cut following recent dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which often makes riskier assets like Bitcoin more appealing compared to traditional investments, uncertainty remains.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $56,600, showing a 4.3% decline over the past 24 hours. A 20% decrease from this price would bring Bitcoin to around $45,000, a level last seen on February 8. Markus Thielen of 10x Research mentioned that this price point could be crucial for the start of a new bull market.
In contrast, Joe Consorti from Bitcoin Layer views the $60,000 level as a consolidation zone for long-term holders. Meanwhile, trader Daan Crypto Trades notes that Bitcoin is currently hovering around its Bull Market Support Band, showing little movement in either direction.
The Trump administration is exploring the idea of leveraging tariff revenues to build a national Bitcoin reserve, signaling a broader shift in how digital assets could be integrated into U.S. economic policy.
Public companies ramped up their Bitcoin holdings in early 2025, with total corporate reserves growing by more than 95,000 BTC in the first quarter alone, according to data shared by Bitwise.
Japanese investment company Metaplanet is ramping up its Bitcoin acquisition strategy, making headlines with its latest purchase of over ¥3.7 billion (approximately $26 million USD) worth of BTC.
Bitcoin-linked investment products in the United States are feeling the pressure as tensions between Washington and Beijing weigh heavily on risk markets.