The Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates unchanged, opting for caution as it monitors inflation and the economic impact of President Donald Trump’s early policies.
Since returning to office, Trump has issued executive orders, including a spending freeze, and threatened 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports, moves that could fuel inflation.
Meanwhile, the U.S. trade deficit surged 18% in December, as businesses rushed to import goods ahead of potential policy shifts.
While some investors expect rate cuts later in 2025, the Fed remains hesitant, wary of reversing course if inflation picks up. Bond markets have responded with rising long-term yields, reflecting doubts over future monetary policy.
At his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the bank’s independence, dismissing Trump’s calls for immediate cuts. With inflation still above target and growth strong, the timeline for rate reductions remains uncertain.
In a historic move, Moody’s has downgraded the United States’ long-term credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing ballooning deficits, growing interest burdens, and a failure to implement fiscal reforms.
JPMorgan Chase’s chief global strategist has expressed a cautious view of the U.S. economy, suggesting that while a full recession may be avoided, the near-term outlook points to slow and uneven growth.
U.S. President Donald Trump has reignited criticism of Federal Reserve policy, calling for swift interest rate reductions and casting doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s ability to handle the process.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has cautioned that the possibility of a U.S. recession still looms large, citing a convergence of geopolitical instability and unresolved domestic issues as key threats to economic momentum.