Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision and a former Goldman Sachs executive, believes the ongoing crypto market rally could extend further than many anticipate.
He suggests that this cycle might break away from conventional timelines, potentially stretching into 2026. In a recent update to his YouTube audience, Pal discussed what he calls the “Banana Zone,” a period of accelerated price growth for digital assets.
He predicts that the second phase of this surge will gain momentum around March, followed by explosive market activity in April, May, and June. While previous cycles have followed a similar pattern—initial rallies, corrections, and renewed surges—Pal believes the current cycle is shaping up to be unique, largely due to macroeconomic conditions.
He draws comparisons to the 2017 bull run, noting that after an initial wave of gains, markets tend to experience brief corrections, triggering fear among investors. This cycle, he argues, is no different, with current market fluctuations following a familiar trajectory.
Pal expects that after the upcoming acceleration in the second quarter, another correction will follow, leading some to believe the rally is over. However, he insists that such retracements are natural and that a final surge will likely occur before the cycle peaks. His outlook is rooted in the broader economic landscape, where prolonged periods of expansion often translate into extended market cycles.
Pal further explains that the business cycle itself plays a crucial role in shaping crypto’s trajectory. As global markets recover from economic slowdowns, liquidity continues to flow into risk assets, keeping momentum alive. While he stops short of making an outright prediction, he suggests that the structure of the current business cycle supports an extended timeline for crypto’s growth.
He emphasizes that institutional involvement is higher than ever, with major financial players increasingly engaging with the digital asset space. Regulatory clarity, growing mainstream adoption, and macroeconomic tailwinds could all contribute to a longer-than-expected cycle, allowing Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to reach new highs before any significant downturn occurs.
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