The United States is experiencing significant geopolitical turmoil and struggling with inflationary pressures. Escalating interest rates have led to an unsustainable economic model, exacerbated by de-dollarization efforts within the BRICS countries, which have resulted in a marked depreciation of the US dollar over the past four years.
The data reveals about a 25% decline in the dollar’s purchasing power since the start of 2020, indicating that one US dollar is now only worth $0.75 worth of goods. This loss of value is symptomatic of the currency’s inflationary state and highlights its deteriorating condition amid the global trend towards financial diversification.
In recent years, many countries, including the United States, have faced economic challenges. Despite stabilization efforts, the US economy continued to struggle with inflationary pressures at the start of this year.
De-dollarization initiatives within the BRICS group have further weakened the US dollar, causing its purchasing power to drop significantly by 25% since January 2020. This decline reflects the declining ability of the dollar to acquire goods in the country. However, inflation is only one facet of the problem, with rising debt levels and global economic positioning also contributing to the currency’s woes.
President Biden has proposed $24 billion in Congressional appropriations to support the war effort in Ukraine amid a looming debt crisis that threatens the status of the U.S. dollar. The Congressional Budget Office has warned of the potential consequences of inaction on the debt issue, citing significant fiscal risks to the economy.
Central banks around the world reacted by increasing their gold reserves as a hedge against a potential collapse of the US dollar. This trend reflects the growing concern about the stability of the dollar on the international stage.
Geopolitical tensions, combined with inflationary pressures and the de-dollarization initiatives of the BRICS countries, further complicate the outlook for the US dollar. The emergence of alternative currencies, digital assets and other factors are contributing to a more diversified global economic landscape, casting doubt on the dollar’s future supremacy if current trends persist.
Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio has expressed grave concerns over the U.S. debt situation, warning that an unsustainable imbalance between debt supply and demand could have severe global repercussions.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February 2025 showed a modest increase of 0.2% compared to January, following a 0.5% rise the previous month. Over the past year, the overall CPI has risen by 2.8%.
The U.S. is set to impose a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and several other nations, with the policy taking effect at midnight on March 12.
Institutional analysts believe the Federal Reserve is unlikely to reduce interest rates during its upcoming meeting, but if concerns about a recession grow, the central bank might initiate a series of quick rate cuts by June.