One of the most important U.S. economic metrics, the jobs report, was just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report on jobs in September showed that the unemployment rate falls to 4.1%, the same as in August. Тhe economy added 254,000 jobs, up from 142,000 in August.
This latest report is crucial for assessing whether the Fed’s anticipated quarter-point rate cuts in its remaining meetings this year will hold.
Before the release, former Fed economist John Roberts analyzed the Fed’s economic outlook and noted that recent rate cuts coincide with a slight projected increase in the unemployment rate, suggesting that the previous ec’onomic resilience is fading. He warned that the current policy rate may exert more pressure on the economy than expected.
Rising joblessness over the past year has raised recession alarms. Historical trends indicate that when unemployment increases by more than half a percentage point annually, larger rises typically follow.
Investors are largely betting that the Fed will cut the benchmark rate by another quarter-point in early November, a sentiment that the recently published employment data could either validate or alter. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin remarked that as more economic reports emerge, confidence in rate decisions will evolve, allowing for appropriate responses to changing data.
Market anxiety is surging after President Trump’s latest move to impose sweeping tariffs, with crypto-based prediction platforms now signaling a growing belief that a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
As trade tensions rise and economic signals grow harder to read, America’s largest banks are posting quarterly results that reflect both resilience and caution.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has raised alarms over a possible U.S. recession, warning that the downturn may have already begun.
China has fired back at the United States with a sharp tariff increase, raising duties on U.S. imports to 125% effective April 12, 2025.