BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has raised alarms over a possible U.S. recession, warning that the downturn may have already begun.
Speaking in a CNBC interview, Fink cited rising economic strain and protectionist trade policies—particularly tariffs under former President Trump—as key drivers behind what he sees as a slow-motion economic contraction.
While recession fears typically rattle traditional markets, crypto investors may have reason to cheer. A looming slowdown could prompt the Federal Reserve to reverse course on monetary tightening, potentially unleashing a fresh wave of liquidity. That scenario, according to analysts, could be a major catalyst for digital assets like Bitcoin.
Fink’s remarks follow similar predictions from major Wall Street institutions, including JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, and Goldman Sachs. On decentralized prediction markets such as Kalshi and PolyMarket, traders are also increasingly betting that a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Adding fuel to the crypto narrative, recent economic data points to easing inflation. March’s Producer Price Index fell by 0.4% month-over-month—well below expectations—while the Consumer Price Index came in at 2.4% year-over-year, softer than Wall Street’s 2.6% estimate.
Combined with a weakening U.S. dollar, now at a three-year low, the data is bolstering expectations of rate cuts. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan believes that dollar weakness could boost Bitcoin in the short term—and potentially open the door for BTC to gain traction as an alternative global reserve asset in the longer run.
As uncertainty looms over the broader economy, crypto investors may find themselves on the edge of a new bull cycle, fueled not by hype—but by macroeconomic shifts.
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