Bitcoin’s price decline may persist into March or April before attempting a recovery, according to Matrixport.
The cryptocurrency dipped below $80,000 on Feb. 27 as global market uncertainties triggered a sell-off. Wall Street also saw losses, with the Nasdaq 100 down over 7% in five days, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones each fell by 1.33%.
Matrixport emphasized that macroeconomic factors and central bank policies are increasingly shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory, especially as institutional investors integrate it into their portfolios.
A strengthening U.S. dollar added to Bitcoin’s struggles, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing for a third day, nearing 107.40. The rally came after U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese imports, set to take effect on March 4.
Bitcoin ETFs, which have drawn $39 billion since their January 2024 launch, are also playing a role in market dynamics. Analysts estimate that 56% of these inflows stem from arbitrage strategies, while the rest reflect long-term investments.
Despite the downturn, sentiment around “buying the dip” has surged, reaching levels last seen in July 2024. Some analysts suggest Bitcoin is nearing a short-term bottom, though continued declines below $75,000 could challenge the bullish outlook.
As Bitcoin continues to consolidate above $100K, a critical market signal is flashing: BTC funding rates remain elevated, even as price action cools.
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, has suggested that a balanced investment portfolio should include up to 15% allocation to gold or Bitcoin, though he remains personally more inclined toward the traditional asset.
With Bitcoin hovering near $119,000, traders are weighing their next move carefully. The question dominating the market now is simple: Buy the dip or wait for a cleaner setup?
Bitcoin has officially reached the $116,000 milestone, a level previously forecasted by crypto services firm Matrixport using its proprietary seasonal modeling.