Bitcoin appears to be entering a more mature phase, with volatility reaching record lows and institutional interest on the rise.
ARK Invest’s latest “Big Ideas 2025” report highlights that Bitcoin’s one-year rolling volatility has fallen below 50%—the lowest since tracking began in 2011. Despite this calm, the asset delivered a 122.2% gain in 2024, outperforming gold, equities, and bonds.
ARK also points to strong risk-adjusted returns: Bitcoin posted a Sharpe ratio of 1.4 and a Sortino of 4.1, indicating solid performance relative to both overall and downside risk. By comparison, gold offered a higher Sharpe at 1.7 but returned only 26.6%, while equities came in at 19.2% with a 1.3 Sharpe. Over five years, Bitcoin’s compound growth rate stands at 67.2%, dwarfing other major asset classes.
Backing its bullish outlook with action, ARK acquired nearly 1,000 BTC on March 13 via Coinbase, then followed up with $130 million in early April and another $11 million days later. These moves reflect growing institutional conviction amid improving market stability.
This accumulation spree comes as Bitcoin experiences a modest pullback from recent highs. After touching $85,500 on April 15, prices dipped below $83,000 before rebounding slightly. At the time of writing, BTC sits around $83,547, with trading volume down and market cap hovering near $1.65 trillion.
Still, with just over 1 million coins left to be mined and a fully diluted valuation near $1.75 trillion, long-term interest in the asset shows no sign of fading—especially as institutions continue to treat Bitcoin as a strategic reserve rather than a speculative play.
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