Bitcoin appears to be entering a more mature phase, with volatility reaching record lows and institutional interest on the rise.
ARK Invest’s latest “Big Ideas 2025” report highlights that Bitcoin’s one-year rolling volatility has fallen below 50%—the lowest since tracking began in 2011. Despite this calm, the asset delivered a 122.2% gain in 2024, outperforming gold, equities, and bonds.
ARK also points to strong risk-adjusted returns: Bitcoin posted a Sharpe ratio of 1.4 and a Sortino of 4.1, indicating solid performance relative to both overall and downside risk. By comparison, gold offered a higher Sharpe at 1.7 but returned only 26.6%, while equities came in at 19.2% with a 1.3 Sharpe. Over five years, Bitcoin’s compound growth rate stands at 67.2%, dwarfing other major asset classes.
Backing its bullish outlook with action, ARK acquired nearly 1,000 BTC on March 13 via Coinbase, then followed up with $130 million in early April and another $11 million days later. These moves reflect growing institutional conviction amid improving market stability.
This accumulation spree comes as Bitcoin experiences a modest pullback from recent highs. After touching $85,500 on April 15, prices dipped below $83,000 before rebounding slightly. At the time of writing, BTC sits around $83,547, with trading volume down and market cap hovering near $1.65 trillion.
Still, with just over 1 million coins left to be mined and a fully diluted valuation near $1.75 trillion, long-term interest in the asset shows no sign of fading—especially as institutions continue to treat Bitcoin as a strategic reserve rather than a speculative play.
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Bitcoin has soared to new heights in 2024, yet the excitement that once accompanied these milestones is strangely missing. Instead of wild rallies and viral trading crazes, the current market feels almost businesslike—more calm than chaos.
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