The Bank of England has raised alarms over escalating trade restrictions, warning they pose significant risks to global economic stability and inflation.
These barriers are driving up borrowing costs for households and businesses, adding pressure to already volatile financial markets.
The BoE highlighted a worrying decline in international financial cooperation, which it says could weaken the global system’s ability to handle future crises. Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized the growing threat of economic fragmentation, particularly for the UK, a nation heavily reliant on trade. While banks and households remain stable for now, the report flagged vulnerabilities like soaring public debt and unpredictable markets.
Tensions have also surfaced between the government and the BoE over regulation. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves accused the central bank of stifling growth, but Bailey dismissed this, insisting financial stability is essential. Still, the BoE plans to reduce the frequency of stress tests for banks starting in 2025.
The report also warned of market volatility fueled by trade uncertainties and inflation concerns. Hedge funds and non-bank financial entities were identified as potential weak points, with the risk of sudden asset sell-offs amplifying instability. Despite these challenges, UK banks are well-capitalized and prepared to handle shocks, supported by strategic adjustments in oversight.
The U.S. economy may be closer to a downturn than many realize, according to Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo.
Morgan Stanley has issued a cautionary outlook on the U.S. dollar, predicting a major decline over the coming year as Federal Reserve rate cuts take hold.
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has issued a stark warning about the trajectory of U.S. government finances, suggesting the country is drifting toward a series of severe economic shocks unless its debt spiral is urgently addressed.
Steve Eisman, the famed investor known for forecasting the 2008 housing collapse, is sounding the alarm—not on overvalued tech stocks or interest rates, but on the escalating risk of global trade disputes.