{"id":326,"date":"2025-06-10T13:52:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-10T13:52:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/?p=326"},"modified":"2025-06-24T09:41:06","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T09:41:06","slug":"economist-who-called-1987-crash-warns-markets-face-growing-risk-vn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/economist-who-called-1987-crash-warns-markets-face-growing-risk-vn\/","title":{"rendered":"Chuy\u00ean gia t\u1eebng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u0103m 1987 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro cao"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Mark Skousen \u2013 chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eebng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m 1987 \u2013 cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7y r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1edbi David Lin, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf Mark Skousen c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng \u0111ang \u00e2m th\u1ea7m g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u201cBlack Monday,\u201d Skousen cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7n nay mang t\u00ednh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u00e2m \u1ec9. \u00d4ng ch\u1ec9 ra c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf thi\u1ebfu \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh,\u00a0 ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang suy gi\u1ea3m, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm cho th\u1ea5y nguy c\u01a1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Theo Skousen, c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p can thi\u1ec7p tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang \u2013 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u01a1m thanh kho\u1ea3n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020 \u2013 tuy \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Skousen b\u00e0y t\u1ecf lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 \u0111ang t\u0103ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la l\u1ea1i s\u1ee5t gi\u00e1 \u2013 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0o <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/2025\/06\/09\/jpmorgan-warns-u-s-economy-may-be-slowing-behind-the-headlines-vn\/\">vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3<\/a> \u0111ang suy gi\u1ea3m. M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n, theo \u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 r\u1ed1i lo\u1ea1n trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, khi\u1ebfn nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng sang c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 v\u00e0ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u00f4ng c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n (fractional reserves) \u2013 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. \u00d4ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c l\u1edbn s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5, k\u00e9o theo hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 \u2013 Trung g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 nguy c\u01a1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec7t. Tuy v\u1eady JPMorgan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2025, nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia kh\u00e1c v\u1eabn gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m bi quan. Trong \u0111\u00f3, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf Steve Hanke ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng M\u1ef9 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 90%, do h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p t\u1eeb Skousen: th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n nh\u1eefng g\u00ec b\u1ec1 ngo\u00e0i th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n, v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i sai l\u1ea7m trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed3i l\u1eeda ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh m\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mark Skousen \u2013 chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eebng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m 1987 \u2013 cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7y r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n. Trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1edbi David Lin, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf Mark [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":167,"featured_media":327,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fintech"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o: Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t r\u1ee7i ro cao<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Mark Skousen \u2013 t\u1eebng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00fa s\u1eadp n\u0103m 1987 \u2013 cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh 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