{"id":1452,"date":"2025-07-11T02:29:25","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T02:29:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/?p=1452"},"modified":"2025-07-11T02:29:25","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T02:29:25","slug":"here-why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/here-why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00ec sao Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1edbm h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn? G\u00f3c nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb Goldman Sachs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Goldman Sachs m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch la\u0303i su\u00e2\u0301t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2025 thay v\u00ec m\u1ed1c th\u00e1ng 12 nh\u01b0 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd trong quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Goldman, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u1eb9 h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ban \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmansachs.com\/insights\/articles\/why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1edbi<\/a>, m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong kho\u1ea3ng 3,00% \u2013 3,25%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 3,50% \u2013 3,75% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. Goldman Sachs ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 t\u00ednh gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/jpmorgan-warns-u-s-economy-may-be-slowing-behind-the-headlines-vn\/\">n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9<\/a>, bao g\u1ed3m: T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u1edf c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 du l\u1ecbch v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang d\u1ea7n \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t Fed \u0111\u01b0a ra. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan \u00e1p l\u00ean h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c lo ng\u1ea1i s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn cho vi\u1ec7c Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 s\u1edbm h\u01a1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">M\u1ee5c l\u1ee5c<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/here-why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs\/#Xu_huong_giam_phat_va_tin_hieu_%E2%80%9Cha_nhiet%E2%80%9D_tu_thi_truong_lao_dong\" >Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u201ch\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t\u201d t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/here-why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs\/#Chinh_sach_linh_hoat_va_trien_vong_sap_toi\" >Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch linh ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Xu_huong_giam_phat_va_tin_hieu_%E2%80%9Cha_nhiet%E2%80%9D_tu_thi_truong_lao_dong\"><\/span><strong>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u201ch\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t\u201d t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">David Mericle, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng khu v\u1ef1c Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a Goldman Sachs, cho bi\u1ebft x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Fed c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 hi\u1ec7n \u201cch\u1ec9 nh\u1ec9nh h\u01a1n 50% m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat\u201d. \u00d4ng v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 5 \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, m\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, 10 v\u00e0 12 n\u0103m 2025, sau \u0111\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 6 n\u0103m 2026. Tuy nhi\u00ean, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n gi\u1ea3m ngay trong th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m nay \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng. D\u00f9 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn cho th\u1ea5y t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u201ckh\u1ecfe m\u1ea1nh\u201d nh\u01b0ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m m\u1edbi \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m \u2013 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111ang \u201ch\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t\u201d d\u1ea7n. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch nh\u1eadp c\u01b0 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra r\u1ee7i ro ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Chinh_sach_linh_hoat_va_trien_vong_sap_toi\"><\/span><strong>Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch linh ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Goldman Sachs nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1ec1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1ch nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn v\u1ec1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trung l\u1eadp d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, m\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch Fed di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u v\u0129 m\u00f4. \u00d4ng David Mericle c\u0169ng th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trung l\u1eadp th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u1ea9n s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i linh ho\u1ea1t, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi t\u1eeb c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">V\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1edbi n\u00e0y, Goldman Sachs hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/vn\/what-will-happen-with-the-stock-market-if-trump-reshapes-the-fed\/\">C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Fed<\/a> c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m v\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u1eabn tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Goldman Sachs m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch la\u0303i su\u00e2\u0301t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2025 thay v\u00ec m\u1ed1c th\u00e1ng 12 nh\u01b0 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":166,"featured_media":1453,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fintech"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - 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