{"id":145251,"date":"2025-07-11T11:08:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T08:08:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/kr\/?p=145251"},"modified":"2025-07-11T11:14:30","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T08:14:30","slug":"bitcoin-breaks-118k-technical-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/kr\/bitcoin-breaks-118k-technical-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, 11\ub9cc 8\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00 \uae30\ub85d\u00b7\u00b7\u00b7\ucc28\ud2b8\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uae08\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d 11\ub9cc 8\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 16\uc5b5 \uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\uba70 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 11\ub9cc 5\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \uac70\uc138\uc9c0\ub354\ub2c8 \ub9c8\uce68\ub0b4 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\uac00 118,196\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00 \uae30\ub85d\uc758 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300\uc758 ETF \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785<\/a><\/strong>\uc5d0 10\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uccad\uc0b0, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638 \ub4f1 \ubcf5\ud569\uc801\uc778 \uc694\uc18c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ucf54\uc778\ub9c8\ucf13\ucea1\uc758<\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \ud55c\ub3d9\uc548 \ubd88\uc7a5<\/a><\/strong>\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a8\uc9c0 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\ub294 \uac8c \uc88b\uaca0\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2e8\uc21c \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA), \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\ub834\/\ud655\uc0b0 \uc9c0\uc218(MACD), \uc0c1\ub300 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc218(RSI), \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc608\uc0c1 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud574 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud574\ubcf4\uaca0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\ub2e8\uc21c \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA)<\/h2>\n

\ub2e8\uc21c \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120(Simple Moving Average, SMA)\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\uc5ec \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c 50 SMA(\ub2e8\uae30 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120)\uc640 200 SMA(\uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120)\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub450 SMA \uc704\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba74 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uad50\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc810\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uc640 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0<\/p>\n

\ud604\uc7ac BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub450 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \ubaa8\ub450\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub098 \uc911\uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub450 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9d0\ud574, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30\u00b7\uc911\uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub450 SMA \uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uacbd\uc6b0, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

MACD & RSI<\/h2>\n

\uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\ub834\/\ud655\uc0b0 \uc9c0\uc218(Moving Average Convergence Divergence, MACD)\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uac70\ub098 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294\uc9c0, \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc774 \uc5b8\uc81c\uc778\uc9c0 \uc54c\ub824\uc900\ub2e4. MACD \uc120\uc740 \ud30c\ub780\uc0c9, \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110 \uc120\uc740 \uc8fc\ud669\uc0c9\uc73c\ub85c, MACD \uc120\uc774 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110 \uc120 \uc704\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc2e0\ud638\uc774\uba70, \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ud638\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 MACD \uc120\uc774 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110 \uc120\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c<\/p>\n

\uc0c1\ub300 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc218(Relative Strength Index, RSI)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud558\ub77d \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc778\uc9c0 \uc544\ub2cc\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. RSI \uac12\uc774 70\uc744 \ub118\uc73c\uba74 \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\uc774\uba70, 30 \uc774\ud558\uba74 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\ub85c \ubd84\ub958\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 RSI\uac00 70\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\uac00 53 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 BTC \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucdb0\uc9c0\uac70\ub098 \ub290\ub824\uc838 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

MACD\uc640 RSI\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud53c\ub85c\uac10\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 11\ub9cc 8\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uacac\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\ub294 11\ub9cc 9\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\ub2e4. \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc774 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74, BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 12\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc608\uc0c1 \uad6c\uac04<\/h2>\n

\uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc608\uc0c1 \uad6c\uac04(Fibonacci Weekly Projection)\uc774 \ud45c\uc2dc\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uacfc \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud574\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud560\uc9c0 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc608\uc0c1 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\ub294 11\ub9cc 8\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\uc5d0 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 118,240\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \uac8c \uad00\uac74\uc774\ub2e4. BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc120\ub2e4\uba74 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\ub294 12\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0\ub85c<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 MACD\uc640 RSI \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 117,500\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc774\ub098 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ucd18\ucd18\ud788 \ubd84\ud3ec\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc5b4 BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740?<\/h2>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0 \ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uaca0\uc73c\ub098 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub2e4\uac00 \ub610\ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9d0\ud574, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. SMA\uc640 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc138\uac00 11\ub9cc 9\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, MACD\uc640 RSI\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud655\uc815\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc774\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n