{"id":3469,"date":"2025-09-06T05:35:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-06T02:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/?p=3469"},"modified":"2025-09-05T17:22:49","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T14:22:49","slug":"ha-szakadni-kezd-a-bitcoin-milyen-melyre-sullyedhet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/ha-szakadni-kezd-a-bitcoin-milyen-melyre-sullyedhet\/","title":{"rendered":"Ha szakadni kezd a Bitcoin, milyen m\u00e9lyre s\u00fcllyedhet?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ahogy a Bitcoin \u00e1ra n\u00e9gy\u00e9ves piaci ritmus\u00e1ban kritikus pillanathoz \u00e9rkezik, a befektet\u0151kben egyre t\u00f6bb k\u00e9ts\u00e9g mer\u00fcl fel. A keresked\u0151k legink\u00e1bb arra k\u00edv\u00e1ncsiak, hogy ez a fordul\u00f3pont el\u0151rejelzi-e a k\u00f6zelg\u0151 meredek es\u00e9st.<\/p>\n<p>Az elemz\u0151k arra figyelmeztetnek, hogy a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00f3napban ak\u00e1r meredek emelked\u00e9s, ak\u00e1r 50 000 doll\u00e1ros korrekci\u00f3 is bek\u00f6vetkezhet. Okt\u00f3bert jel\u00f6lik meg a legfontosabb fordul\u00f3pontk\u00e9nt.<\/p>\n<p>Joao Wedson, az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.alphractal.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Alphractal kriptoelemz\u0151 c\u00e9g<\/a> alap\u00edt\u00f3ja \u00e9s vez\u00e9rigazgat\u00f3ja egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en figyelmeztetett a Bitcoin kil\u00e1t\u00e1saira.<\/p>\n<div data-nosnippet>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Judgment Day for Bitcoin Approaches?<\/p>\n<p>Back in 2024, we pointed out that October 2025 could mark the completion of a fascinating Bitcoin fractal cycle. If true, this would signal the official closing of this phase in BTC\u2019s history.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, it would be reckless to assume that\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3dtekdPCFN\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/3dtekdPCFN<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZtndPv0vCm\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/ZtndPv0vCm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joao_wedson\/status\/1963243995804352669?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">September 3, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p><\/div>\n<p>Szerinte a Bitcoin n\u00e9gy\u00e9ves, ism\u00e9tl\u0151d\u0151 ciklusa hamarosan v\u00e9get \u00e9rhet, \u00e9s ezt t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmileg mindig medvepiac k\u00f6vette. Wedson elmagyar\u00e1zta, hogy a <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/kriptotozsdek\/anonim-bitcoin-vasarlas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> 15 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se az eddigi legmagasabb szinthez k\u00e9pest egy hosszabb, lefel\u00e9 ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 trend korai jele lehet.<\/p>\n<p>Hangs\u00falyozta, hogy a jelenlegi strukt\u00fara illeszkedik az Alphractal \u201eism\u00e9tl\u0151d\u0151 ciklus\u00e1hoz\u201d, \u00e9s okt\u00f3ber \u00e1ltal\u00e1ban az a h\u00f3nap, amikor a medvepiaci lend\u00fclet er\u0151s\u00f6dik \u00e9s a piaci hangulat megv\u00e1ltozik.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin \u00e1rfolyam-elemz\u00e9s: A BTC cs\u00f6kken\u0151 csatorn\u00e1ja kit\u00f6r\u00e9st vagy \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1st jelent?<\/h2>\n<p>Technikai szempontb\u00f3l a Bitcoin \u00f3r\u00e1nk\u00e9nti grafikonja vegyes k\u00e9pet mutat. Az \u00e1rfolyam a k\u00f6zelm\u00faltbeli volatilit\u00e1s ut\u00e1n konszolid\u00e1l\u00f3dni l\u00e1tszik. A gyertya mozg\u00e1sa egy augusztus v\u00e9g\u00e9n kialakult, cs\u00f6kken\u0151 csatorn\u00e1t mutat. Ezt k\u00f6vetkezetesen alacsonyabb cs\u00facsok \u00e9s alacsonyabb m\u00e9lypontok jellemezt\u00e9k.<\/p>\n<p>A minta a <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/kriptotozsdek\/kriptovaluta-vasarlas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoint<\/a> a 109 500\u2013110 000 doll\u00e1r k\u00f6r\u00fcli t\u00e1maszig k\u00e9nyszer\u00edtette. A vev\u0151k ezen a szinten l\u00e9ptek be, hogy csillap\u00edts\u00e1k az elad\u00e1si nyom\u00e1st.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3472\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3472\" style=\"width: 1559px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3472 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-arfolyama-2.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin arfolyama 2\" width=\"1559\" height=\"964\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-arfolyama-2.png 1559w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-arfolyama-2-300x186.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-arfolyama-2-1024x633.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-arfolyama-2-768x475.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-arfolyama-2-1536x950.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1559px) 100vw, 1559px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3472\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Forr\u00e1s: BTC USDT, TradingView)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Az 50 napos \u00e9s 100 napos exponenci\u00e1lis mozg\u00f3\u00e1tlagok k\u00f6zel ker\u00fclnek egym\u00e1shoz. Ez t\u00fckr\u00f6zi a r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa bizonytalans\u00e1got \u00e9s a hirtelen \u00e1tt\u00f6r\u00e9s lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t.<\/p>\n<p>Ha a 109 500 doll\u00e1ros t\u00e1masz megt\u00f6rik, az elad\u00e1sok felgyorsulhatnak, \u00e9s az \u00e1r 108 000 doll\u00e1r fel\u00e9 cs\u00f6kkenhet. M\u00e1sr\u00e9szt, ha a szint kitart, a Bitcoin \u00fajra tesztelheti az 111 000\u2013112 000 doll\u00e1r k\u00f6r\u00fcli ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1st.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoQuant<\/a> adatai szerint a Binance Bitcoin\/stablecoin ar\u00e1nya jelenleg k\u00f6zel \u00e1ll az 1-hez, ami gyakran egybeesik a piaci m\u00e9lypontokkal. A mutat\u00f3 a Bitcoin tartal\u00e9kokat a Binance stablecoin-tartal\u00e9kaival hasonl\u00edtja \u00f6ssze.<\/p>\n<p>Legut\u00f3bb m\u00e1rciusban \u00e9rte el a parit\u00e1st, amikor a Bitcoin 78 000 doll\u00e1rra esett vissza, miel\u0151tt a 123 000 doll\u00e1ros t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi cs\u00facsra emelkedett.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3473\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3473\" style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3473 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Binance-Bitcoin.png\" alt=\"Binance Bitcoin\" width=\"1600\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Binance-Bitcoin.png 1600w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Binance-Bitcoin-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Binance-Bitcoin-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Binance-Bitcoin-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Binance-Bitcoin-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3473\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Forr\u00e1s: Bitcoin\/stabilcoin tartal\u00e9k ar\u00e1ny, CryptoQuant)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Ez az ar\u00e1ny az el\u0151z\u0151 medvepiaci ciklus \u00f3ta k\u00e9tszer emelkedett ilyen magas szintre. Az ar\u00e1ny a kor\u00e1bbi ciklusokban soha nem volt ilyen magas, kiv\u00e9ve a medvepiaci ciklusok v\u00e9g\u00e9n, 2023 m\u00e1rcius\u00e1ban ism\u00e9t megugrott. Jelenlegi meg\u00fajul\u00e1sa nem felt\u00e9tlen\u00fcl jelzi a m\u00e9lypontot, hanem csak egy nagyobb korrekci\u00f3 kezdet\u00e9t.<\/p>\n<h2>Ha a Bitcoin bezuhan 108 000 doll\u00e1r al\u00e1, az k\u00e9nyszer\u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9st okozhat?<\/h2>\n<p>Mindk\u00e9t ir\u00e1nynak vannak forr\u00f3 pontjai a Coinglass \u00e1ltal k\u00e9sz\u00edtett, Bitcoin likvid\u00e1ci\u00f3s h\u0151t\u00e9rk\u00e9pen.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3474\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3474\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3474\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-hoterkep-1024x751.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin hoterkep\" width=\"800\" height=\"587\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-hoterkep-1024x751.png 1024w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-hoterkep-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-hoterkep-768x563.png 768w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-hoterkep-1536x1126.png 1536w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-hoterkep.png 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3474\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Forr\u00e1s: Bitcoin likvid\u00e1ci\u00f3s h\u0151t\u00e9rk\u00e9p, Coinglass)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A pozit\u00edv oldalon a likvid\u00e1ci\u00f3s t\u0151ke\u00e1tt\u00e9tel 112 000 \u00e9s 114 000 doll\u00e1r k\u00f6z\u00f6tt mozog. B\u00e1rmely tov\u00e1bbi kit\u00f6r\u00e9s egy sor r\u00f6vid likvid\u00e1l\u00e1st v\u00e1ltana ki, ami a lend\u00fclet n\u00f6veked\u00e9se eset\u00e9n es\u00e9st okozna.<\/p>\n<p>A likvid\u00e1ci\u00f3s szintek negat\u00edvak, 108 000 \u00e9s 106 000 doll\u00e1r k\u00f6z\u00f6tt vannak. K\u00f6zel 20-40 milli\u00f3 poz\u00edci\u00f3 van ebben a tartom\u00e1nyban. Az elemz\u0151k szerint ezen z\u00f3na alatt a k\u00e9nyszer\u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9s a Bitcoin \u00e1r\u00e1nak s\u00falyosabb cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t okozhatja.<\/p>\n<p>Az \u00e1ltal\u00e1nos likvid\u00e1ci\u00f3s strukt\u00fara azt jelzi, hogy a keresked\u0151k mindk\u00e9t oldalon eloszlanak. A short poz\u00edci\u00f3k 108 000 doll\u00e1r alatt, a long poz\u00edci\u00f3k pedig 112 000 doll\u00e1r felett lenn\u00e9nek vesz\u00e9lyben.<\/p>\n<p>A h\u0151t\u00e9rk\u00e9p kiemeli a bik\u00e1k \u00e9s a medv\u00e9k k\u00f6z\u00f6tti jelenlegi k\u00fczdelmet, \u00e9s jelzi, hogy mindk\u00e9t oldal likvidit\u00e1si szintj\u00e9nek tesztel\u00e9se ut\u00e1n jelent\u0151s mozg\u00e1s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>A CoinGlass legfrissebb <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/pro\/i\/FearGreedIndex\" rel=\"nofollow\">Crypto Fear and Greed Indexe<\/a> 56-os \u00e9rt\u00e9ket mutat, ami semleges, de ink\u00e1bb a kapzsis\u00e1g fel\u00e9 hajlik. Ez azt jelzi, hogy a hangulat kiss\u00e9 bik\u00e1s, annak ellen\u00e9re, hogy a keresked\u0151k \u00f3vatosak. A m\u00faltban, amikor az index a kapzsis\u00e1g fel\u00e9 mozdult el, mik\u00f6zben a Bitcoin a cs\u00facsok k\u00f6zel\u00e9ben kereskedett, a piacok gyakran r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa korrekci\u00f3kat tapasztaltak, mivel megkezd\u0151d\u00f6tt a profitrealiz\u00e1l\u00e1s.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3475\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3475\" style=\"width: 1236px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3475 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-fear-and-greed.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin fear and greed\" width=\"1236\" height=\"550\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-fear-and-greed.jpg 1236w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-fear-and-greed-300x133.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-fear-and-greed-1024x456.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2025\/09\/Bitcoin-fear-and-greed-768x342.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1236px) 100vw, 1236px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3475\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Forr\u00e1s: BTC Fear and Greed Index, Coinglass)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Az enyhe kapzsis\u00e1g jele azt mutatja, hogy a v\u00e1s\u00e1rl\u00f3k tov\u00e1bbra is akt\u00edvak. De ha a lend\u00fclet lelassul, akkor n\u0151 a visszah\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1s es\u00e9lye. A Bitcoin eset\u00e9ben ez a jelenlegi szintek k\u00f6r\u00fcli nagyobb volatilit\u00e1st jelenthet. A keresked\u0151k figyelmesen k\u00f6vetik, hogy a kapzsis\u00e1g fel\u00e9 t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 elmozdul\u00e1s h\u0171v\u00f6sebb f\u00e1zist hoz-e mag\u00e1val, miel\u0151tt \u00fajabb emelked\u00e9s k\u00f6vetkezne be.<\/p>\n<p>A Wedson \u00e1ltal az X-en megosztott grafikonok azt mutatj\u00e1k, hogy a BTC\/USD a kor\u00e1bbi ciklusmint\u00e1knak megfelel\u0151en mozog.<\/p>\n<p>Ennek ellen\u00e9re ez a ciklus n\u00e9h\u00e1ny fontos k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9get is tartalmaz. Az egyik legnagyobb az int\u00e9zm\u00e9nyi befektet\u0151k er\u0151s szerepe \u00e9s a Bitcoin n\u00f6vekv\u0151 st\u00e1tusza makroeszk\u00f6zk\u00e9nt.<\/p>\n<p>Ha \u00e9rdekel, mik\u00e9nt tudod el\u0151rejelezni a kript\u00f3k \u00e1rmozg\u00e1s\u00e1t, ez a vide\u00f3 elmagyar\u00e1zza az alapokat:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"\u00cdgy L\u00e1tod El\u0151re a Kripto Mozg\u00e1sokat! \ud83d\udd25 (10-100X Presale Token Tipp \ud83d\ude80)\" width=\"1778\" height=\"1000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/6204__mellU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ahogy a Bitcoin \u00e1ra n\u00e9gy\u00e9ves piaci ritmus\u00e1ban kritikus pillanathoz \u00e9rkezik, a befektet\u0151kben egyre t\u00f6bb k\u00e9ts\u00e9g mer\u00fcl fel. A keresked\u0151k legink\u00e1bb arra k\u00edv\u00e1ncsiak, hogy ez a fordul\u00f3pont el\u0151rejelzi-e a k\u00f6zelg\u0151 meredek es\u00e9st. Az elemz\u0151k arra figyelmeztetnek, hogy a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00f3napban ak\u00e1r meredek emelked\u00e9s, ak\u00e1r 50 000 doll\u00e1ros korrekci\u00f3 is bek\u00f6vetkezhet. Okt\u00f3bert jel\u00f6lik meg a legfontosabb fordul\u00f3pontk\u00e9nt. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":65,"featured_media":682,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"coin_category":[228,143,137,253,139,148,419,145,126,417,153,214,161,140,154,162,199,178,164,156,157,551,617,170,167,562,195,624,149,163,174,637,273,169,150,593,233,418,158,204,173,189,133,276,203,138,136,130,160,301],"class_list":["post-3469","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ha szakadni kezd a Bitcoin, milyen m\u00e9lyre s\u00fcllyedhet?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A Bitcoin \u00e9ppen kritikus pillanathoz \u00e9rkezik, egyre t\u00f6bb k\u00e9ts\u00e9get \u00e9breszt, a 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