{"id":181049,"date":"2025-11-21T19:49:29","date_gmt":"2025-11-21T17:49:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=181049"},"modified":"2025-11-21T19:49:29","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T17:49:29","slug":"polymarket-traders-bet-on-deeper-crash-for-bitcoin-and-ethereum-in-november","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/polymarket-traders-bet-on-deeper-crash-for-bitcoin-and-ethereum-in-november\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket Traders Bet on Deeper Crash for Bitcoin and Ethereum in November"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Instead of the classic October\u2013November rally, the market is being dragged deeper into a downturn with every passing week. Bitcoin\u2019s slide to $81,000 has sent a shockwave through the entire sector, and the reaction from investors is unlike anything seen in recent cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than trying to buy the dip, most market participants now believe the decline will stretch into the short term \u2014 and prediction markets confirm that sentiment beyond any doubt.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket, a platform that people use to speculate on real-world outcomes, has completely flipped to the bearish side. The shift is so extreme that bullish expectations have practically disappeared, especially for Bitcoin and Ethereum, which together dictate the rhythm of the entire crypto space.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin sentiment: confidence is gone<\/h2>\n<p>Not long ago, ambitious forecasts pinned Bitcoin above $200,000 before year-end. Today, speculation has taken a very different turn. The scenario that traders are betting on most heavily is BTC dropping beneath $80,000 during November, which has now become the dominant bet on Polymarket.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-180973\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/crypto-crash-puts-michael-saylors-strategy-under-the-harshest-market-test-yet\/\" title=\"Crypto Crash Puts Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy Under the Harshest Market Test Yet\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/michael-saylor-240x170.jpeg\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">Crypto Crash Puts Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy Under the Harshest Market Test Yet<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>A deeper fall toward $75,000 is the second most-backed outcome, and optimism for any major rally is nearly nonexistent \u2014 the likelihood of Bitcoin trading above $115,000 is being priced at barely 2%. It\u2019s not just fear; it\u2019s a market that has stopped believing in a meaningful short-term recovery.<\/p>\n<h2>Ethereum forecasts fall even faster<\/h2>\n<p>If Bitcoin\u2019s outlook is grim, Ethereum\u2019s is worse. The majority of Polymarket speculators expect ETH to continue bleeding rather than stabilizing.<\/p>\n<p>The leading prediction prices ETH below $2,600 with a 68% likelihood. The next most-backed outcome pushes the decline further, with a 33% chance of slipping below $2,400. Even a flash crash scenario \u2014 below $2,200 \u2014 is actively priced at 17%.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the idea of Ethereum making a dramatic comeback has essentially evaporated. Only 2% of the market sees ETH surging above $4,000, showing that confidence in an explosive recovery has been nearly wiped out.<\/p>\n<h2>What this tells us about the market<\/h2>\n<p>Crypto isn\u2019t just falling \u2014 expectations are collapsing with it. The psychological shift might be more important than the price action itself. For a market that has historically treated October and November as launchpads for major rallies, the current reversal symbolizes a turning point that few expected.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest takeaway is not the percentage drops, but the collective belief that they are not finished. Polymarket\u2019s pricing reflects a market preparing for continuation, not an imminent rebound. Until that mentality changes, speculative money will stay defensive \u2014 and long-awaited seasonal optimism won\u2019t return.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The period that traders once called crypto\u2019s golden window has now become its worst nightmare.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":93288,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"yes","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[24,27],"tags":[72,240,424,271,384,108],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-181049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-buy-the-dip","tag-crypto","tag-ethereum","tag-optimism","tag-price"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Polymarket 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