{"id":180676,"date":"2025-11-19T20:00:57","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T18:00:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=180676"},"modified":"2025-11-19T17:24:28","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T15:24:28","slug":"crypto-bets-hint-at-who-will-replace-powell-as-fed-chair-and-when","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/crypto-bets-hint-at-who-will-replace-powell-as-fed-chair-and-when\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Bets Hint at Who Will Replace Powell as Fed Chair &#8211; and When"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The next Federal Reserve Chair will <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/media\/bessent-rules-out-fed-chair-role-explains-what-lured-saudis-1t-investment-deal\" rel=\"nofollow\">determine<\/a><\/strong> whether borrowing costs fall sharply or stay elevated, and crypto markets \u2014 more sensitive to liquidity than equities \u2014 have become an early predictor.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than waiting for an announcement, prediction platforms and macro-focused traders have begun assigning probabilities to the frontrunners based on their interest-rate philosophy. The conversation inside crypto circles isn\u2019t \u201cWho will Trump pick?\u201d but \u201cWhich rate doctrine will dominate the next market cycle?\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Candidates Sorted by Policy, Not Politics<\/h2>\n<p>Among the shortlisted names, Kevin Hassett is viewed as the strongest advocate for deeper rate cuts and therefore the most bullish candidate from a liquidity standpoint. In contrast, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman are generally perceived as continuity choices, carrying a more gradual approach to easing \u2014 similar to Powell.<\/p>\n<p>Kevin Warsh and BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder sit between those poles, supportive of lower rates but not as aggressively as Hassett.<\/p>\n<p>The political drama behind the search has been toned down by the participants themselves; even Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly removed himself from consideration, preferring to remain in the Treasury role.<\/p>\n<h2>Trump\u2019s Timeline Is a Market Variable<\/h2>\n<p>In an interview with FOX News, Bessent suggested that Trump intends to narrow the field to three and conduct final meetings shortly after Thanksgiving, with the goal of settling on a pick before Christmas.<\/p>\n<p>Whether the announcement materializes in December or slips into 2025 is now affecting market expectations more than the names themselves.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-180593\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/bitcoin-sell-off-might-be-over-is-this-the-bottom\/\" title=\"Bitcoin Sell-Off Might Be Over  &#8211; is This the Bottom?\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/shutterstock_2434424663-240x170.jpg\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">Bitcoin Sell-Off Might Be Over  &#8211; is This the Bottom?<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h2>Prediction Platforms Reflect Skepticism<\/h2>\n<p>Despite Bessent offering a clear timeline, crypto prediction markets disagree.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket traders are pricing a 44% chance that no Fed Chair announcement will happen this year, showing doubt that the timeline will hold.<\/p>\n<p>But if the president does reveal his selection before year-end, traders assign the highest probability \u2014 27.6% \u2014 to Kevin Hassett, who has already said he would accept the job if offered.<\/p>\n<p>Smaller probabilities reflect scenarios in which Christopher Waller (9.7%) or Rick Rieder (8.3%) receives the appointment.<\/p>\n<h2>Why the Crypto World Cares<\/h2>\n<p>With blockchain markets reacting sharply to even minor shifts in rate-cut expectations, the identity of the next Fed Chair could influence the first quarter of 2026 before the new chair ever takes office.<\/p>\n<p>In this context, the Fed race has become a liquidity forecast disguised as a personnel decision, and prediction markets now function as an unofficial indicator of expected policy direction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The White House hasn\u2019t named Jerome Powell\u2019s successor, yet traders in digital assets are already pricing in the consequences.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":141814,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"yes","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[261,424,243,122],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-180676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others","tag-blackrock","tag-crypto","tag-federal-reserve","tag-trump"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Crypto Bets Hint at Who Will Replace Powell as Fed Chair - and When<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The White House hasn\u2019t named Jerome Powell\u2019s successor, yet traders in digital assets are already pricing in the consequences.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/crypto-bets-hint-at-who-will-replace-powell-as-fed-chair-and-when\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Crypto Bets Hint at Who Will Replace Powell as Fed Chair - and When\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoDnes EN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-11-19T18:00:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/11\/trumppowell1321.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Alexander Zdravkov\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@https:\/\/x.com\/riverbeaver17\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Alexander Zdravkov\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptodnes.bg\\\/en\\\/crypto-bets-hint-at-who-will-replace-powell-as-fed-chair-and-when\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptodnes.bg\\\/en\\\/crypto-bets-hint-at-who-will-replace-powell-as-fed-chair-and-when\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Alexander Zdravkov\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptodnes.bg\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6042a0f3f18efba4b370857bef9d000c\"},\"headline\":\"Crypto Bets Hint at Who Will Replace Powell as Fed Chair &#8211; 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