{"id":179020,"date":"2025-11-06T14:00:38","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T12:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=179020"},"modified":"2025-11-06T14:05:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T12:05:05","slug":"from-politics-to-profit-prediction-markets-emerge-as-the-next-big-asset-class","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/from-politics-to-profit-prediction-markets-emerge-as-the-next-big-asset-class\/","title":{"rendered":"From Politics to Profit: Prediction Markets Emerge as the Next Big Asset Class"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/post\/377866\/bernstein-prediction-markets-evolving-into-broader-information-venues-robinhood-kalshi-volumes-surge\" rel=\"nofollow\">information<\/a><\/strong> analysts led by Gautam Chhugani said prediction markets are \u201cevolving to be broader information markets,\u201d with interest expanding well beyond politics and sports into economics, culture, corporate events, and financial indicators. The analysts described the emerging space as a hybrid between derivatives trading and real-time market intelligence, driven by the tokenization of data and the rise of compliant, regulated platforms.<\/p>\n<p>Prediction markets allow users to trade simple yes\/no contracts that pay out $1 if an event occurs and $0 if it does not, with prices reflecting the market-implied probability of an outcome.<\/p>\n<h2>Kalshi vs. Polymarket: The Race for Dominance<\/h2>\n<p>Bernstein noted that the \u201creal battle\u201d in the sector is now between Kalshi and Polymarket \u2013 two giants taking distinct but increasingly convergent approaches.<\/p>\n<p>Kalshi adopted a regulation-first model, securing key CFTC licenses and even winning a court battle to list political contracts. It is now expanding internationally through crypto integrations with Solana and Base, broadening its reach to non-U.S. markets.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket, meanwhile, began as a decentralized platform on Polygon and quickly became the largest global venue for event-based trading. However, Kalshi recently overtook Polymarket in monthly trading volume, processing $4.4 billion in October compared to Polymarket\u2019s $3 billion, according to The Block\u2019s dashboard.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-178905\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/ripple-rockets-to-40b-valuation-after-massive-500m-wall-street-influx\/\" title=\"Ripple Rockets to $40B Valuation After Massive $500M Wall Street Influx\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/12\/coin_ripple-1-big-240x170.jpg\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">Ripple Rockets to $40B Valuation After Massive $500M Wall Street Influx<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>With new regulatory clarity from the CFTC and SEC, Polymarket is preparing a KYC-compliant U.S. relaunch through its clearing arm QCEX, alongside plans for a POLY token.<\/p>\n<p>Both firms have raised significant capital this year \u2013 Kalshi with $300 million from Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz, and Polymarket with a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Notably, the NHL has signed multi-year partnerships with both platforms \u2013 the first major U.S. sports league to formally engage with prediction markets.<\/p>\n<h2>Robinhood\u2019s Growing Role<\/h2>\n<p>Bernstein highlighted Robinhood\u2019s rapid entry as a major growth driver for the category. As the anchor partner for Kalshi, Robinhood now lists over 1,000 prediction contracts and accounts for 57% of Kalshi\u2019s October trading volume. The brokerage reported $2.5 billion in prediction-market activity last month, up from $2.3 billion during all of Q3, suggesting a potential $300 million annualized revenue run rate if growth continues.<\/p>\n<p>According to Bernstein, the sector\u2019s evolution from \u201cniche betting\u201d to \u201cinformation liquidity markets\u201d is reshaping how institutions, retail traders, and even sports leagues engage with real-world data \u2013 blurring the line between speculation and signal in the digital economy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prediction platforms are rapidly transforming into broad, information-driven trading venues as regulatory clarity, institutional investment, and integration with traditional brokerages accelerate adoption and liquidity, according to Bernstein Research.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":170266,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[424,266],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-179020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others","tag-crypto","tag-solana"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>From Politics to Profit: Prediction Markets Emerge as the Next Big Asset Class<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Prediction platforms are rapidly transforming into broad, information-driven trading venues as regulatory clarity, institutional...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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