{"id":177169,"date":"2025-10-25T09:00:45","date_gmt":"2025-10-25T06:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=177169"},"modified":"2025-10-24T22:15:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T19:15:25","slug":"31-billion-in-bitcoin-options-set-to-expire-analysts-warn-of-halloween-volatility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/31-billion-in-bitcoin-options-set-to-expire-analysts-warn-of-halloween-volatility\/","title":{"rendered":"$31 Billion in Bitcoin Options Set to Expire – Analysts Warn of Halloween Volatility"},"content":{"rendered":"

Analysts say the size of this expiry could inject renewed turbulence into an already fragile market still recovering from the sharp flash crash earlier this month.<\/p>\n

That early October selloff, which erased about $19 billion in leveraged positions, cut open interest in Bitcoin options from roughly $38 billion to $31 billion \u2013 the steepest weekly drop since June, according to Bitfinex analysts. Despite that, overall activity in the derivatives market has continued to climb, hinting that traders are once again building aggressive positions.<\/p>\n

Deribit and CME Lead the Charge<\/h2>\n

Crypto exchange Deribit, which was acquired by Coinbase this year, holds the largest share of these expiring contracts \u2013 about $14 billion worth. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) follows closely with another $13.5 billion in outstanding Bitcoin options due next week.
\nDeribit\u2019s chief commercial officer said the exchange has hit a new milestone, with open interest now exceeding $50 billion across more than 450,000 active contracts \u2013 more than double the levels seen at the start of 2024. He noted a heavy build-up of put options around the $100,000 strike, signaling bets on a potential decline, while a similar cluster of call options near $120,000 suggests some traders are eyeing a rebound or heightened volatility.<\/p>\n

\n
Read More:<\/h5>\n \n
\n \n \n <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Investors Flee Altcoins, Pouring Billions Back into Bitcoin<\/h4>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Historically, large option expiries have tended to keep volatility muted before the event and then trigger sharper price swings in the days that follow. Analysts warn that even after October\u2019s deleveraging, leverage in the system remains high \u2013 meaning that if prices start to slide, another wave of forced liquidations could unfold.<\/p>\n

Such cascade events occur when leveraged long positions are liquidated in rapid succession, each triggering the next as prices fall and liquidity dries up.<\/p>\n

Macro Factors Add Pressure<\/h2>\n

Beyond the derivatives market, traders are also watching U.S. macro data and monetary policy. The Consumer Price Index report, delayed by the government shutdown, has just been released, while attention now turns to next week\u2019s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Markets are pricing in a 97% probability of another rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.<\/p>\n

ETF flows have mirrored the shifting sentiment. After strong $2.7 billion inflows in early October, the market saw $1.2 billion outflows following the mid-month liquidation wave. This week, inflows have stabilized, with Bitcoin funds drawing about $356 million, data from Farside Investors show.<\/p>\n

With so many derivatives expiring at once, and macro conditions still uncertain, traders are bracing for another volatile stretch \u2014 one that could decide whether Bitcoin\u2019s next big move is up or down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin derivatives market is heading into one of its most significant moments of the year, with an estimated $31 billion in options contracts set to expire on Halloween.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":74019,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[72,280,398,424,294,108],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-177169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-coinbase","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-crypto","tag-etf","tag-price"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n$31 Billion in Bitcoin Options Set to Expire - Analysts Warn of Halloween Volatility - CryptoDnes EN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Bitcoin derivatives market is heading into one of its most significant moments of the year, with an estimated $31 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