{"id":170378,"date":"2025-09-12T14:00:17","date_gmt":"2025-09-12T11:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=170378"},"modified":"2025-09-12T13:25:37","modified_gmt":"2025-09-12T10:25:37","slug":"reuters-poll-fed-to-cut-rates-on-september-17-as-economists-cite-labor-weakness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/reuters-poll-fed-to-cut-rates-on-september-17-as-economists-cite-labor-weakness\/","title":{"rendered":"Reuters Poll: Fed to Cut Rates on September 17 as Economists Cite Labor Weakness"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nearly all respondents forecast a 25-basis-point reduction, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.00%\u20134.25%. Only two predicted a larger 50-basis-point cut. The overwhelming consensus reflects growing evidence of a slowdown in labor demand, highlighted by weak August job growth and a downward revision to employment data from the past 12 months.<\/p>\n

Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, said the Fed now has \u201cfour months of evidence of a slowdown in labor demand that appears more persistent in nature,\u201d adding that policymakers should \u201cignore where inflation is today and ease policy to support the labor market.\u201d<\/p>\n

Markets price in more cuts<\/h2>\n

Markets have already priced in not only the September cut but also two further reductions this year, bringing the expected total to three. That compares to just two cuts anticipated only weeks earlier.<\/p>\n

The poll also found that 60% of respondents expect the Fed to reduce rates by 50 basis points by the end of 2025, while 37% forecast 75 bps of cuts, a sharp increase from just 22% in August.<\/p>\n

Policy risks and dissent<\/h2>\n

While Fed Chair Jerome Powell and several officials have hinted at easing, divisions remain. Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman opposed holding rates steady in July, and economists expect possible dissenting votes at next week\u2019s meeting.<\/p>\n

Bank of America\u2019s Stephen Juneau cautioned that aggressive easing could risk a policy error if inflation proves more stubborn than anticipated: \u201cIf the Fed cuts aggressively\u2026 we get in the situation where it\u2019s more of a policy error.\u201d
\nInflation and unemployment outlook<\/p>\n

\n
Read More:<\/h5>\n \n
\n \n \n <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n

Bitcoin Golden Cross 2025: Rare Signal Hints at Massive Rally<\/h4>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Despite the expected cuts, inflation is forecast to remain above the Fed\u2019s 2% target until at least 2027. Unemployment, now at 4.3%, is projected to hover near that level for years. More than 60% of economists surveyed said either surging inflation or a mix of inflation and rising unemployment posed the greatest risk for the U.S. economy over the next 12 months.
\nAdditional easing is likely in 2026. Poll medians suggest rates could fall another 75 basis points next year, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.00%\u20133.25%.<\/p>\n

Political backdrop<\/h2>\n

President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for not cutting sooner, and his nominee for Fed governor, Stephen Miran, may not be seated in time for next week\u2019s meeting. Governor Lisa Cook remains in her position after a court blocked Trump\u2019s attempt to remove her.<\/p>\n

Economists expect Powell to deliver the September cut, but the balance between labor support and inflation risks will remain a central challenge for the Fed in the months ahead.<\/p>\n

Source<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver its first rate cut of the year on September 17, as a softer labor market takes priority over inflation concerns, according to a new Reuters poll of 107 economists.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":33390,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[234,421,108,122],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-170378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others","tag-donald-trump","tag-morgan-stanley","tag-price","tag-trump"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nReuters Poll: Fed to Cut Rates on September 17 as Economists Cite Labor Weakness<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver its first rate cut of the year on September 17, as a softer labor market 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