{"id":168263,"date":"2025-08-28T17:00:39","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T14:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=168263"},"modified":"2025-08-28T17:00:25","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T14:00:25","slug":"feds-policy-risks-recession-bitcoin-seen-as-key-hedge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/feds-policy-risks-recession-bitcoin-seen-as-key-hedge\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019s Policy Risks Recession, Bitcoin Seen as Key Hedge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Peterson highlighted the decline in the Leading Economic Index (LEI), a gauge that has preceded every U.S. recession in the last half-century. He noted the LEI has already fallen more than 5% since 2022, a threshold that historically signals an economic downturn.<\/p>\n<p>Despite this, the Fed has resisted cutting rates \u2013 an anomaly Peterson interprets as evidence that the U.S. is already in recession, even if official recognition from the NBER has not yet arrived.<\/p>\n<h2>Inflation\u2019s true driver<\/h2>\n<p>Contrary to the Fed\u2019s stance, Peterson argued that inflation is not demand-driven but rooted in supply chain disruptions stemming from global shocks. He cited the long-lasting ripple effects of Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, which strained energy, agriculture, and critical minerals. In his view, elevated interest rates cannot resolve these bottlenecks, but they do weigh on growth, suppress consumer spending, and increase job losses.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-167766\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/xrp-and-ethereum-set-for-explosive-moves-analyst-highlights-new-targets\/\" title=\"XRP and Ethereum Set for Explosive Moves, Analyst Highlights New Targets\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/12\/ethereum-ripple-xrp-gID_1-240x170.webp\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">XRP and Ethereum Set for Explosive Moves, Analyst Highlights New Targets<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h2>Fragile stock market foundations<\/h2>\n<p>The analyst also expressed skepticism about the equity rally, observing that most of the S&amp;P 500\u2019s gains have come from a handful of mega-cap tech companies. This narrow market leadership, he warned, makes stocks vulnerable if macroeconomic pressures intensify.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin and gold as lifeboats<\/h2>\n<p>With fiscal policy stretching thin and inflationary pressures lingering, Peterson urged investors to protect themselves with scarce, durable assets. \u201cThe Fed cannot fix structural issues,\u201d he stressed, recommending both Bitcoin and gold as essential portfolio hedges against instability.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin advocate and Cane Island Alternative Advisors founder Timothy Peterson has criticized the Federal Reserve\u2019s current approach, arguing that higher interest rates are weakening rather than stabilizing the economy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":168265,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[72,224],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-168263","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-gold"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fed\u2019s Policy Risks Recession, Bitcoin Seen as Key Hedge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin advocate and Cane Island Alternative Advisors founder Timothy Peterson has criticized the Federal Reserve\u2019s current approach...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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