{"id":164806,"date":"2025-08-01T16:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T13:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=164806"},"modified":"2025-08-01T15:10:54","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T12:10:54","slug":"how-bitcoins-reserve-risk-chart-just-flashed-a-major-top-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/how-bitcoins-reserve-risk-chart-just-flashed-a-major-top-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"How Bitcoin\u2019s Reserve Risk Chart Just Flashed a Major Top Signal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According to analyst Darkfost, this signal <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Darkfost_Coc\/status\/1951208382049710533\" rel=\"nofollow\">comes<\/a><\/strong> as a large batch of old BTC coins were recently moved, a shift that has historically preceded periods of short-term corrections and price consolidation.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-164807\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/GxQP0bvXwAI_KA9.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/GxQP0bvXwAI_KA9.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/GxQP0bvXwAI_KA9-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/GxQP0bvXwAI_KA9-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/08\/GxQP0bvXwAI_KA9-768x432.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/p>\n<p>The Reserve Risk model combines metrics like Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) and its momentum (MVOCDD) to evaluate the confidence of long-term holders (LTH) relative to Bitcoin\u2019s price.<\/p>\n<p>When this metric surges\u2014particularly after a large amount of aged coins move\u2014it often reflects growing investor eagerness to offload into strength, typically near local tops. As shown in the latest chart from LookIntoBitcoin, this is the third time MVOCDD has flashed such a warning since 2017. Each prior instance led to a notable price cooling-off period.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-163306\" href=\"\" title=\"\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\"><\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>What makes this instance especially notable is the sharp uptick in MVOCDD at a time when Bitcoin remains near multi-year highs. The latest move suggests long-term holders\u2014who historically sell only during strong market euphoria\u2014are starting to reduce exposure. With Bitcoin still hovering above $60K, this shift may imply that institutional or OG wallets are preparing for turbulence ahead.<\/p>\n<p>While not a guarantee of reversal, Reserve Risk has a strong track record of identifying overheated conditions. Traders and investors may want to stay alert. A local top may already be in\u2014unless new momentum overrides historical behavior.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s on-chain metrics are sounding an alarm. The Reserve Risk indicator\u2014widely used to assess long-term holder conviction and price valuation\u2014has once again signaled a potential market top.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":132626,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[72,108],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-164806","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-price"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How Bitcoin\u2019s Reserve Risk Chart Just Flashed a Major Top Signal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s on-chain metrics are sounding an alarm. 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